**Current numerical weather prediction models and official Turkish meteorological service guidance converge on a daytime maximum of 26°C in Ankara under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds.** This aligns with late-September climatology for the region’s continental climate, where average highs typically range 24–27°C absent strong advection or frontal passages. Multiple ensemble runs show minimal spread around this value, with dry conditions and no significant cloud cover or precipitation expected to suppress the peak. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 26°C reflects this tight model agreement and the proximity to resolution, though minor revisions in final observational data or localized microclimate effects at reporting stations could theoretically shift the recorded high by 1°C in either direction.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 21 settembre?
La temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 21 settembre?
26°C 100.0%
21°C o inferiore <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$38,798 Vol.
$38,798 Vol.
21 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Sì
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C o superiore
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C o inferiore <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$38,798 Vol.
$38,798 Vol.
21 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
$245 Vol.
No
22°C
$517 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,405 Vol.
No
24°C
$3,119 Vol.
No
25°C
$11,550 Vol.
No
26°C
$14,658 Vol.
Sì
27°C
$4,334 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,838 Vol.
No
29°C
$780 Vol.
No
30°C
$133 Vol.
No
31°C o superiore
$219 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current numerical weather prediction models and official Turkish meteorological service guidance converge on a daytime maximum of 26°C in Ankara under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds.** This aligns with late-September climatology for the region’s continental climate, where average highs typically range 24–27°C absent strong advection or frontal passages. Multiple ensemble runs show minimal spread around this value, with dry conditions and no significant cloud cover or precipitation expected to suppress the peak. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 26°C reflects this tight model agreement and the proximity to resolution, though minor revisions in final observational data or localized microclimate effects at reporting stations could theoretically shift the recorded high by 1°C in either direction.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$38,798Data di fine
21 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current numerical weather prediction models and official Turkish meteorological service guidance converge on a daytime maximum of 26°C in Ankara under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds.** This aligns with late-September climatology for the region’s continental climate, where average highs typically range 24–27°C absent strong advection or frontal passages. Multiple ensemble runs show minimal spread around this value, with dry conditions and no significant cloud cover or precipitation expected to suppress the peak. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 26°C reflects this tight model agreement and the proximity to resolution, though minor revisions in final observational data or localized microclimate effects at reporting stations could theoretically shift the recorded high by 1°C in either direction.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$38,798Data di fine
21 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
**Current numerical weather prediction models and official Turkish meteorological service guidance converge on a daytime maximum of 26°C in Ankara under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds.** This aligns with late-September climatology for the region’s continental climate, where average highs typically range 24–27°C absent strong advection or frontal passages. Multiple ensemble runs show minimal spread around this value, with dry conditions and no significant cloud cover or precipitation expected to suppress the peak. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 26°C reflects this tight model agreement and the proximity to resolution, though minor revisions in final observational data or localized microclimate effects at reporting stations could theoretically shift the recorded high by 1°C in either direction.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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