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icon for Elezioni al Senato del Ceará: 2° posto
Politica·Brasile

Elezioni al Senato del Ceará: 2° posto

icon for Elezioni al Senato del Ceará: 2° posto
Politica·Brasile

Elezioni al Senato del Ceará: 2° posto

Luizianne 44%

Capitão Wagner 36%

Cid Gomes 19%

Alcides Fernandes <1%

Polymarket

$36,440 Vol.

Luizianne 44%

Capitão Wagner 36%

Cid Gomes 19%

Alcides Fernandes <1%

Polymarket

$36,440 Vol.

icon for Luizianne

Luizianne

$11,611 Vol.

44%

icon for Capitão Wagner

Capitão Wagner

$14,298 Vol.

36%

icon for Cid Gomes

Cid Gomes

$4,901 Vol.

19%

icon for Alcides Fernandes

Alcides Fernandes

$1,095 Vol.

1%

icon for Lino Alves

Lino Alves

$942 Vol.

1%

icon for Guilherme Theophilo

Guilherme Theophilo

$820 Vol.

<1%

icon for Catarina Matos

Catarina Matos

$1,538 Vol.

<1%

icon for Reginaldo

Reginaldo

$1,234 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from July through early September 2026 shows Cid Gomes (PSB) consistently leading consolidated intentions for one Senate seat in Ceará at 23-27%, leaving a narrow contest for the second vacancy between Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede). Multiple surveys place the pair within margins of error, often 16-24% and 9-21% respectively, with Alcides Fernandes (PL) nearby in some samples. High shares of undecided voters (10-20%) and blank or null responses, combined with voters' option to split tickets across the two seats, sustain the tight positioning. Luizianne's placement on the government-aligned ticket with Cid and gubernatorial candidate Elmano has consolidated left-leaning support, while Wagner draws from opposition voters. Limited recent alliance shifts or campaign events have prevented clearer separation ahead of the October 4 vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$36,440
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from July through early September 2026 shows Cid Gomes (PSB) consistently leading consolidated intentions for one Senate seat in Ceará at 23-27%, leaving a narrow contest for the second vacancy between Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede). Multiple surveys place the pair within margins of error, often 16-24% and 9-21% respectively, with Alcides Fernandes (PL) nearby in some samples. High shares of undecided voters (10-20%) and blank or null responses, combined with voters' option to split tickets across the two seats, sustain the tight positioning. Luizianne's placement on the government-aligned ticket with Cid and gubernatorial candidate Elmano has consolidated left-leaning support, while Wagner draws from opposition voters. Limited recent alliance shifts or campaign events have prevented clearer separation ahead of the October 4 vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$36,440
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

icon for Cid Gomes otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato del Ceará del 2026?

Cid Gomes otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato del Ceará del 2026?

77%
Sì
icon for André do Prado otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato di San Paolo del 2026?

André do Prado otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato di San Paolo del 2026?

36%
Sì
icon for Humberto Costa otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Pernambuco del 2026?

Humberto Costa otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Pernambuco del 2026?

43%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Elezioni al Senato del Ceará: 2° posto" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 8 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Luizianne" a 44%, seguito da "Capitão Wagner" a 36%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 44¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 44% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Elezioni al Senato del Ceará: 2° posto" ha generato $36.4K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 17, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni al Senato del Ceará: 2° posto", esplora i 8 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni al Senato del Ceará: 2° posto" è "Luizianne" a 44%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 44% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Capitão Wagner" a 36%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni al Senato del Ceará: 2° posto" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.