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icon for Elezioni al Senato di Amazonas: 2° posto
Politica·Brasile

Elezioni al Senato di Amazonas: 2° posto

icon for Elezioni al Senato di Amazonas: 2° posto
Politica·Brasile

Elezioni al Senato di Amazonas: 2° posto

Capitão Alberto Neto 69%

Eduardo Braga 14.9%

Wilson Lima 10.7%

Plinio Valério 1.1%

Polymarket

$26,548 Vol.

Capitão Alberto Neto 69%

Eduardo Braga 14.9%

Wilson Lima 10.7%

Plinio Valério 1.1%

Polymarket

$26,548 Vol.

icon for Capitão Alberto Neto

Capitão Alberto Neto

$12,558 Vol.

69%

icon for Eduardo Braga

Eduardo Braga

$4,942 Vol.

15%

icon for Wilson Lima

Wilson Lima

$5,184 Vol.

11%

icon for Plinio Valério

Plinio Valério

$679 Vol.

8%

icon for Xuxa do Amazonas

Xuxa do Amazonas

$793 Vol.

1%

icon for Evandro de Oliveira

Evandro de Oliveira

$533 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dailson Corrêa

Dailson Corrêa

$521 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ismael Munduruku

Ismael Munduruku

$521 Vol.

<1%

icon for Professoressa Evany

Professoressa Evany

$816 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) leads trader pricing for second place at 72.5% amid a competitive race for the two Amazonas Senate seats on October 4, 2026.** Recent polls from June through September consistently show Eduardo Braga (MDB) ahead overall, often with 23–32% support, while Neto, Wilson Lima (União Brasil), and Plínio Valério (PSDB) remain in a tight contest for the remaining position. Neto benefits from stronger backing in Manaus, where he frequently leads or ties, offsetting Braga and Lima’s advantages in the interior. This geographic split, combined with Neto’s consolidated first- and second-vote totals in several surveys, underpins the market’s assessment. Fringe candidates register below 5% in polling and hold negligible implied probabilities. An upcoming Senate debate on September 25 could influence late momentum before voting begins.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$26,548
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) leads trader pricing for second place at 72.5% amid a competitive race for the two Amazonas Senate seats on October 4, 2026.** Recent polls from June through September consistently show Eduardo Braga (MDB) ahead overall, often with 23–32% support, while Neto, Wilson Lima (União Brasil), and Plínio Valério (PSDB) remain in a tight contest for the remaining position. Neto benefits from stronger backing in Manaus, where he frequently leads or ties, offsetting Braga and Lima’s advantages in the interior. This geographic split, combined with Neto’s consolidated first- and second-vote totals in several surveys, underpins the market’s assessment. Fringe candidates register below 5% in polling and hold negligible implied probabilities. An upcoming Senate debate on September 25 could influence late momentum before voting begins.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$26,548
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

icon for Eduardo Braga otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato dell'Amazzonia del 2026?

Eduardo Braga otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato dell'Amazzonia del 2026?

76%
Sì
icon for Delegado Éder Mauro otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Pará del 2026?

Delegado Éder Mauro otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Pará del 2026?

64%
Sì
icon for Bia Kicis otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale del 2026?

Bia Kicis otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale del 2026?

55%
Sì

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Domande frequenti

"Elezioni al Senato di Amazonas: 2° posto" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 9 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Capitão Alberto Neto" a 69%, seguito da "Eduardo Braga" a 15%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 69¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 69% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Elezioni al Senato di Amazonas: 2° posto" ha generato $26.5K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 17, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni al Senato di Amazonas: 2° posto", esplora i 9 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni al Senato di Amazonas: 2° posto" è "Capitão Alberto Neto" a 69%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 69% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Eduardo Braga" a 15%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni al Senato di Amazonas: 2° posto" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.