Skip to main content

Per fare trading negli USA, vai su polymarket.us

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Pernambuco
Politica·Brasile

Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Pernambuco

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Pernambuco
Politica·Brasile

Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Pernambuco

Raquel Lyra 68%

João Campos 32%

Ivan Moraes <1%

Polymarket

$48,698 Vol.

Raquel Lyra 68%

João Campos 32%

Ivan Moraes <1%

Polymarket

$48,698 Vol.

icon for Raquel Lyra

Raquel Lyra

$22,711 Vol.

68%

João Campos

$20,654 Vol.

32%

Ivan Moraes

$5,333 Vol.

<1%

The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Raquel Lyra (PSD), the incumbent governor of Pernambuco, holds the leading position in trader consensus for the October 4, 2026, election due to consistent polling leads and structural advantages heading into the final weeks. Recent Quaest surveys from early September show her at 43% against João Campos (PSB) at 37% in the first round, within the 3-point margin of error but sufficient for a projected first-round victory on valid votes. Her 68% government approval rating and broader municipal alliances across 139 cities bolster her position, while Campos benefits from PT backing tied to President Lula but trails in spontaneous recall and local support maps. Minor candidates like Ivan Moraes register negligible shares, reinforcing the two-way dynamic. Market pricing reflects this incumbency edge and poll stability rather than any late surge.

The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$48,698
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Raquel Lyra (PSD), the incumbent governor of Pernambuco, holds the leading position in trader consensus for the October 4, 2026, election due to consistent polling leads and structural advantages heading into the final weeks. Recent Quaest surveys from early September show her at 43% against João Campos (PSB) at 37% in the first round, within the 3-point margin of error but sufficient for a projected first-round victory on valid votes. Her 68% government approval rating and broader municipal alliances across 139 cities bolster her position, while Campos benefits from PT backing tied to President Lula but trails in spontaneous recall and local support maps. Minor candidates like Ivan Moraes register negligible shares, reinforcing the two-way dynamic. Market pricing reflects this incumbency edge and poll stability rather than any late surge.

The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$48,698
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

icon for Lucas Ribeiro vincerà le elezioni per il Governatore della Paraíba?

Lucas Ribeiro vincerà le elezioni per il Governatore della Paraíba?

78%
Sì
icon for Eduardo Braide vincerà le elezioni per il Governatore del Maranhão?

Eduardo Braide vincerà le elezioni per il Governatore del Maranhão?

76%
Sì
icon for Fábio vincerà le elezioni governative del Sergipe del 2026?

Fábio vincerà le elezioni governative del Sergipe del 2026?

90%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Pernambuco" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 3 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Raquel Lyra" a 68%, seguito da "João Campos" a 33%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 68¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 68% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Pernambuco" ha generato $48.7K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jul 9, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Pernambuco", esplora i 3 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Pernambuco" è "Raquel Lyra" a 68%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 68% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "João Campos" a 33%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Pernambuco" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.