Recent polling from state-affiliated firms such as FOM and WCIOM shows United Russia maintaining a wide lead, followed by a tight contest among LDPR, KPRF, and New People for the remaining parliamentary spots, with New People registering gains in several surveys. The Supreme Court’s August disqualification of Yabloko after its initial registration and rising support redistributed potential protest votes among the remaining registered parties. LDPR and New People hold the highest implied probabilities for fourth place on the market, reflecting their comparable national support levels near or above the 5% threshold and organizational reach in single-member districts. A Just Russia trails further back, while smaller parties like Rodina face structural barriers to clearing the threshold. The narrow gap between the leaders leaves room for late shifts driven by turnout patterns or regional results in the September 18–20 vote.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLiberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 40%
New People (NL) 38%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 14%
Rodina 2.9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 20, 2026
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
40%
New People (NL)
38%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
14%
Rodina
3%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
2%
Civic Platform (GP)
1%
United Russia (ER)
1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 40%
New People (NL) 38%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 14%
Rodina 2.9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 20, 2026
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$215 Vol.
40%
New People (NL)
$1,424 Vol.
38%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$90 Vol.
14%
Rodina
$83 Vol.
3%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$217 Vol.
2%
Civic Platform (GP)
$584 Vol.
1%
United Russia (ER)
$187 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polling from state-affiliated firms such as FOM and WCIOM shows United Russia maintaining a wide lead, followed by a tight contest among LDPR, KPRF, and New People for the remaining parliamentary spots, with New People registering gains in several surveys. The Supreme Court’s August disqualification of Yabloko after its initial registration and rising support redistributed potential protest votes among the remaining registered parties. LDPR and New People hold the highest implied probabilities for fourth place on the market, reflecting their comparable national support levels near or above the 5% threshold and organizational reach in single-member districts. A Just Russia trails further back, while smaller parties like Rodina face structural barriers to clearing the threshold. The narrow gap between the leaders leaves room for late shifts driven by turnout patterns or regional results in the September 18–20 vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ET
Volume
$2,801Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polling from state-affiliated firms such as FOM and WCIOM shows United Russia maintaining a wide lead, followed by a tight contest among LDPR, KPRF, and New People for the remaining parliamentary spots, with New People registering gains in several surveys. The Supreme Court’s August disqualification of Yabloko after its initial registration and rising support redistributed potential protest votes among the remaining registered parties. LDPR and New People hold the highest implied probabilities for fourth place on the market, reflecting their comparable national support levels near or above the 5% threshold and organizational reach in single-member districts. A Just Russia trails further back, while smaller parties like Rodina face structural barriers to clearing the threshold. The narrow gap between the leaders leaves room for late shifts driven by turnout patterns or regional results in the September 18–20 vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$2,801Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from state-affiliated firms such as FOM and WCIOM shows United Russia maintaining a wide lead, followed by a tight contest among LDPR, KPRF, and New People for the remaining parliamentary spots, with New People registering gains in several surveys. The Supreme Court’s August disqualification of Yabloko after its initial registration and rising support redistributed potential protest votes among the remaining registered parties. LDPR and New People hold the highest implied probabilities for fourth place on the market, reflecting their comparable national support levels near or above the 5% threshold and organizational reach in single-member districts. A Just Russia trails further back, while smaller parties like Rodina face structural barriers to clearing the threshold. The narrow gap between the leaders leaves room for late shifts driven by turnout patterns or regional results in the September 18–20 vote.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTerkait
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
46%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
90%
Apakah Rusia Bersatu (ER) akan memenangkan kursi terbanyak dalam pemilihan parlemen Rusia berikutnya?
99%
Ya
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