Recent polls from VCIOM and FOM show United Russia maintaining a wide lead, with the contest for third place centered on LDPR and New People after KPRF, consistent with trader pricing that assigns LDPR a narrow edge over New People. New People has gained ground in several VCIOM surveys through appeals on quality-of-life issues and online access, while LDPR has emphasized nationalist and regional themes in its campaign. KPRF holds a steadier second-place position in most readings due to its established voter base. Yabloko’s disqualification narrowed the field but has not altered the main three-way dynamic among the systemic parties. With voting days away, turnout patterns among younger and regional voters could determine final separation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLiberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 46%
New People (NL) 40%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 10%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 2.5%
$72,373 Vol.
$72,373 Vol.

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
46%

New People (NL)
40%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
10%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
3%

Yabloko
1%

United Russia (ER)
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

Rodina
<1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 46%
New People (NL) 40%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 10%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 2.5%
$72,373 Vol.
$72,373 Vol.

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
46%

New People (NL)
40%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
10%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
3%

Yabloko
1%

United Russia (ER)
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

Rodina
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from VCIOM and FOM show United Russia maintaining a wide lead, with the contest for third place centered on LDPR and New People after KPRF, consistent with trader pricing that assigns LDPR a narrow edge over New People. New People has gained ground in several VCIOM surveys through appeals on quality-of-life issues and online access, while LDPR has emphasized nationalist and regional themes in its campaign. KPRF holds a steadier second-place position in most readings due to its established voter base. Yabloko’s disqualification narrowed the field but has not altered the main three-way dynamic among the systemic parties. With voting days away, turnout patterns among younger and regional voters could determine final separation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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