Recent polling from June 2026 shows Marcelo Castro (MDB) leading Piauí's Senate race for one of two seats, with Júlio César (PSD) and Ciro Nogueira (PP) clustered closely behind amid elevated undecided and blank/null responses. Júlio César's stronger positioning for second place aligns with lower rejection rates compared to Ciro Nogueira, while both trail in consolidated first- and second-preference scenarios. President Lula's September 9 visit to Teresina reinforced support for the governor's aligned slate including Castro and Júlio César, potentially consolidating votes in a state where the PT base remains influential. High undecided shares and campaign momentum around these frontrunners continue to sustain tight probabilities for second place, with any late shifts in alliances or turnout among key blocs likely to determine separation before October.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiPiauí Senate Election: 2nd Place
Piauí Senate Election: 2nd Place
Julio Cesar 34.9%
Marcelo Castro 32.3%
Ciro Nogueira 16%
Tiago Junqueira 5.4%
$42,854 Vol.
$42,854 Vol.
Julio Cesar
35%
Marcelo Castro
32%
Ciro Nogueira
16%
Tiago Junqueira
5%
Toinho Dufrango
<1%
Francinaldo Leão
<1%
Alexandre Mariano
<1%
Maria Madalena Nunes
<1%
Missionário Evandro Craveiro
<1%
Cloves José
<1%
Dionisio Carvalho
<1%
Jardenya Bezerra
<1%
Antônio José Lira
<1%
Major Paulo Roberto
<1%
Antônio Barros
<1%
Danniel Rocha
<1%
Irmão Evandro Marques
<1%
Jorge Lopes
<1%
Pastor Sena
<1%
Pedro Laurentino
<1%
Julio Cesar 34.9%
Marcelo Castro 32.3%
Ciro Nogueira 16%
Tiago Junqueira 5.4%
$42,854 Vol.
$42,854 Vol.
Julio Cesar
35%
Marcelo Castro
32%
Ciro Nogueira
16%
Tiago Junqueira
5%
Toinho Dufrango
<1%
Francinaldo Leão
<1%
Alexandre Mariano
<1%
Maria Madalena Nunes
<1%
Missionário Evandro Craveiro
<1%
Cloves José
<1%
Dionisio Carvalho
<1%
Jardenya Bezerra
<1%
Antônio José Lira
<1%
Major Paulo Roberto
<1%
Antônio Barros
<1%
Danniel Rocha
<1%
Irmão Evandro Marques
<1%
Jorge Lopes
<1%
Pastor Sena
<1%
Pedro Laurentino
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from June 2026 shows Marcelo Castro (MDB) leading Piauí's Senate race for one of two seats, with Júlio César (PSD) and Ciro Nogueira (PP) clustered closely behind amid elevated undecided and blank/null responses. Júlio César's stronger positioning for second place aligns with lower rejection rates compared to Ciro Nogueira, while both trail in consolidated first- and second-preference scenarios. President Lula's September 9 visit to Teresina reinforced support for the governor's aligned slate including Castro and Júlio César, potentially consolidating votes in a state where the PT base remains influential. High undecided shares and campaign momentum around these frontrunners continue to sustain tight probabilities for second place, with any late shifts in alliances or turnout among key blocs likely to determine separation before October.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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