Marcelo Castro holds the edge in trader consensus for first place in Piauí’s October 2026 Senate race, reflecting consistent leads in June polling from institutes such as Amostragem and AtlasIntel, where he outpaced Ciro Nogueira and Júlio César in first-preference and consolidated vote scenarios. The tight spread among top contenders stems from the state’s two-seat system, elevated undecided and blank/null shares, and Ciro Nogueira’s notably higher rejection levels, which limit expansion despite his established name recognition. Recent unsealing of investigation records tied to Operation Compliance Zero has added scrutiny around Nogueira, while the broader field of over twenty registered candidates remains fragmented with minimal polling traction. Late-campaign alliances, turnout shifts among key voting blocs, and any further polling updates before election day could still alter relative positioning.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMarcelo Castro 54%
Ciro Nogueira 30%
Julio Cesar 16.0%
Alexandre Mariano <1%
$39,672 Vol.
$39,672 Vol.
Marcelo Castro
54%
Ciro Nogueira
30%
Julio Cesar
10%
Alexandre Mariano
<1%
Antônio Barros
<1%
Antônio José Lira
<1%
Cloves José
<1%
Danniel Rocha
<1%
Dionisio Carvalho
<1%
Francinaldo Leão
<1%
Irmão Evandro Marques
<1%
Jardenya Bezerra
<1%
Jorge Lopes
<1%
Major Paulo Roberto
<1%
Maria Madalena Nunes
<1%
Missionário Evandro Craveiro
<1%
Pastor Sena
<1%
Pedro Laurentino
<1%
Tiago Junqueira
<1%
Toinho Dufrango
<1%
Marcelo Castro 54%
Ciro Nogueira 30%
Julio Cesar 16.0%
Alexandre Mariano <1%
$39,672 Vol.
$39,672 Vol.
Marcelo Castro
54%
Ciro Nogueira
30%
Julio Cesar
10%
Alexandre Mariano
<1%
Antônio Barros
<1%
Antônio José Lira
<1%
Cloves José
<1%
Danniel Rocha
<1%
Dionisio Carvalho
<1%
Francinaldo Leão
<1%
Irmão Evandro Marques
<1%
Jardenya Bezerra
<1%
Jorge Lopes
<1%
Major Paulo Roberto
<1%
Maria Madalena Nunes
<1%
Missionário Evandro Craveiro
<1%
Pastor Sena
<1%
Pedro Laurentino
<1%
Tiago Junqueira
<1%
Toinho Dufrango
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Marcelo Castro holds the edge in trader consensus for first place in Piauí’s October 2026 Senate race, reflecting consistent leads in June polling from institutes such as Amostragem and AtlasIntel, where he outpaced Ciro Nogueira and Júlio César in first-preference and consolidated vote scenarios. The tight spread among top contenders stems from the state’s two-seat system, elevated undecided and blank/null shares, and Ciro Nogueira’s notably higher rejection levels, which limit expansion despite his established name recognition. Recent unsealing of investigation records tied to Operation Compliance Zero has added scrutiny around Nogueira, while the broader field of over twenty registered candidates remains fragmented with minimal polling traction. Late-campaign alliances, turnout shifts among key voting blocs, and any further polling updates before election day could still alter relative positioning.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan