Israeli officials, including Defense Minister Israel Katz, have signaled readiness in mid-September 2026 to resume major ground operations in Gaza if Hamas refuses to disarm under the U.S.-backed framework following the October 2025 ceasefire. The IDF maintains control of roughly 60-64% of the territory along the Yellow Line, conducts frequent targeted strikes on Hamas commanders and weapons sites, and has bolstered forces ahead of Yom Kippur while fortifying positions. Hamas continues governance and recruitment efforts in areas outside Israeli control without surrendering arms or tunnels, prompting Southern Command to sustain pressure through airstrikes and raids. These dynamics, alongside stalled reconstruction and Israeli elections, shape trader assessments of escalation risks in the near term.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$758,654 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
31 décembre
10%
$758,654 Vol.
31 décembre
$109,023 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli officials, including Defense Minister Israel Katz, have signaled readiness in mid-September 2026 to resume major ground operations in Gaza if Hamas refuses to disarm under the U.S.-backed framework following the October 2025 ceasefire. The IDF maintains control of roughly 60-64% of the territory along the Yellow Line, conducts frequent targeted strikes on Hamas commanders and weapons sites, and has bolstered forces ahead of Yom Kippur while fortifying positions. Hamas continues governance and recruitment efforts in areas outside Israeli control without surrendering arms or tunnels, prompting Southern Command to sustain pressure through airstrikes and raids. These dynamics, alongside stalled reconstruction and Israeli elections, shape trader assessments of escalation risks in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
Volume
$758,654Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli officials, including Defense Minister Israel Katz, have signaled readiness in mid-September 2026 to resume major ground operations in Gaza if Hamas refuses to disarm under the U.S.-backed framework following the October 2025 ceasefire. The IDF maintains control of roughly 60-64% of the territory along the Yellow Line, conducts frequent targeted strikes on Hamas commanders and weapons sites, and has bolstered forces ahead of Yom Kippur while fortifying positions. Hamas continues governance and recruitment efforts in areas outside Israeli control without surrendering arms or tunnels, prompting Southern Command to sustain pressure through airstrikes and raids. These dynamics, alongside stalled reconstruction and Israeli elections, shape trader assessments of escalation risks in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$758,654Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Israeli officials, including Defense Minister Israel Katz, have signaled readiness in mid-September 2026 to resume major ground operations in Gaza if Hamas refuses to disarm under the U.S.-backed framework following the October 2025 ceasefire. The IDF maintains control of roughly 60-64% of the territory along the Yellow Line, conducts frequent targeted strikes on Hamas commanders and weapons sites, and has bolstered forces ahead of Yom Kippur while fortifying positions. Hamas continues governance and recruitment efforts in areas outside Israeli control without surrendering arms or tunnels, prompting Southern Command to sustain pressure through airstrikes and raids. These dynamics, alongside stalled reconstruction and Israeli elections, shape trader assessments of escalation risks in the near term.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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