Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election shows Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, consistently below or near the 3.25% electoral threshold, typically registering 0.2–1.4% amid widespread defections of lawmakers to larger centrist lists such as Yashar and B'Yachad. Candidate-list submissions closed on September 8 with the party running independently after merger talks collapsed, leaving it vulnerable to vote fragmentation in the center and right-leaning opposition. Trader consensus on sub-1.25% outcomes reflects these structural pressures and limited base mobilization, though the narrow spread between leading buckets captures uncertainty from high undecided shares and potential late shifts in turnout or residual support before election day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour<0,75 % 38%
0,75-1,25 % 30%
3,25 %+ 19%
2-3,25 % 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
<0,75 %
38%
0,75-1,25 %
30%
1,25-2 %
5%
2-3,25 %
16%
3,25 %+
19%
<0,75 % 38%
0,75-1,25 % 30%
3,25 %+ 19%
2-3,25 % 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
<0,75 %
$34 Vol.
38%
0,75-1,25 %
$33 Vol.
30%
1,25-2 %
$15 Vol.
5%
2-3,25 %
$15 Vol.
16%
3,25 %+
$170 Vol.
19%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election shows Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, consistently below or near the 3.25% electoral threshold, typically registering 0.2–1.4% amid widespread defections of lawmakers to larger centrist lists such as Yashar and B'Yachad. Candidate-list submissions closed on September 8 with the party running independently after merger talks collapsed, leaving it vulnerable to vote fragmentation in the center and right-leaning opposition. Trader consensus on sub-1.25% outcomes reflects these structural pressures and limited base mobilization, though the narrow spread between leading buckets captures uncertainty from high undecided shares and potential late shifts in turnout or residual support before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
Volume
$267Date de fin
27 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election shows Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, consistently below or near the 3.25% electoral threshold, typically registering 0.2–1.4% amid widespread defections of lawmakers to larger centrist lists such as Yashar and B'Yachad. Candidate-list submissions closed on September 8 with the party running independently after merger talks collapsed, leaving it vulnerable to vote fragmentation in the center and right-leaning opposition. Trader consensus on sub-1.25% outcomes reflects these structural pressures and limited base mobilization, though the narrow spread between leading buckets captures uncertainty from high undecided shares and potential late shifts in turnout or residual support before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volume
$267Date de fin
27 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election shows Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, consistently below or near the 3.25% electoral threshold, typically registering 0.2–1.4% amid widespread defections of lawmakers to larger centrist lists such as Yashar and B'Yachad. Candidate-list submissions closed on September 8 with the party running independently after merger talks collapsed, leaving it vulnerable to vote fragmentation in the center and right-leaning opposition. Trader consensus on sub-1.25% outcomes reflects these structural pressures and limited base mobilization, though the narrow spread between leading buckets captures uncertainty from high undecided shares and potential late shifts in turnout or residual support before election day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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