Recent polling for Israel's November 2026 Knesset election shows Shas consistently projected between roughly 7 and 10 seats, or about 6-8% of the vote, amid a tight multi-party contest and persistent bloc deadlock. Shas finalized its candidate slate in early September with modest leadership shifts and added a reserve officer, reflecting efforts to broaden appeal within its Sephardi ultra-Orthodox base while navigating draft exemption debates. Surplus-vote pacts among Haredi and other parties, combined with turnout variability in religious communities, sustain the close spread across vote-share brackets. Late-September list qualification deadlines and any shifts in coalition positioning could still alter final results.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour6-7 % 31%
8-9 % 26%
<6 % 25%
7-8 % 23%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
<6 %
34%
6-7 %
31%
7-8 %
17%
8-9 %
26%
9 % ou plus
13%
6-7 % 31%
8-9 % 26%
<6 % 25%
7-8 % 23%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
<6 %
$39 Vol.
34%
6-7 %
$126 Vol.
31%
7-8 %
$53 Vol.
17%
8-9 %
$20 Vol.
26%
9 % ou plus
$76 Vol.
13%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's November 2026 Knesset election shows Shas consistently projected between roughly 7 and 10 seats, or about 6-8% of the vote, amid a tight multi-party contest and persistent bloc deadlock. Shas finalized its candidate slate in early September with modest leadership shifts and added a reserve officer, reflecting efforts to broaden appeal within its Sephardi ultra-Orthodox base while navigating draft exemption debates. Surplus-vote pacts among Haredi and other parties, combined with turnout variability in religious communities, sustain the close spread across vote-share brackets. Late-September list qualification deadlines and any shifts in coalition positioning could still alter final results.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
Volume
$313Date de fin
27 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 4:17 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's November 2026 Knesset election shows Shas consistently projected between roughly 7 and 10 seats, or about 6-8% of the vote, amid a tight multi-party contest and persistent bloc deadlock. Shas finalized its candidate slate in early September with modest leadership shifts and added a reserve officer, reflecting efforts to broaden appeal within its Sephardi ultra-Orthodox base while navigating draft exemption debates. Surplus-vote pacts among Haredi and other parties, combined with turnout variability in religious communities, sustain the close spread across vote-share brackets. Late-September list qualification deadlines and any shifts in coalition positioning could still alter final results.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volume
$313Date de fin
27 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 4:17 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's November 2026 Knesset election shows Shas consistently projected between roughly 7 and 10 seats, or about 6-8% of the vote, amid a tight multi-party contest and persistent bloc deadlock. Shas finalized its candidate slate in early September with modest leadership shifts and added a reserve officer, reflecting efforts to broaden appeal within its Sephardi ultra-Orthodox base while navigating draft exemption debates. Surplus-vote pacts among Haredi and other parties, combined with turnout variability in religious communities, sustain the close spread across vote-share brackets. Late-September list qualification deadlines and any shifts in coalition positioning could still alter final results.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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