Incumbent Bryan Steil holds a clear edge in Wisconsin’s 1st Congressional District due to the seat’s R+2 Partisan Voter Index, his established name recognition, and a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $5 million. Mitchell Berman, an ER nurse who won the Democratic primary in August, has narrowed the gap in recent internal polling to within a point, emphasizing working-class issues and criticism of corporate influence. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican, reflecting historical voting patterns and Steil’s unopposed primary. Traders price the current 68-32 split around these structural factors and the district’s modest Republican tilt, even as Berman’s early general-election ad buy and voter dissatisfaction signals keep the contest competitive heading into November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourWI-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
WI-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$10,042 Vol.
$10,042 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Bryan Steil (R)
67%
Mitchell Berman (D)
33%
$10,042 Vol.
$10,042 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Bryan Steil (R)
$5,341 Vol.
67%
Mitchell Berman (D)
$4,701 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Bryan Steil holds a clear edge in Wisconsin’s 1st Congressional District due to the seat’s R+2 Partisan Voter Index, his established name recognition, and a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $5 million. Mitchell Berman, an ER nurse who won the Democratic primary in August, has narrowed the gap in recent internal polling to within a point, emphasizing working-class issues and criticism of corporate influence. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican, reflecting historical voting patterns and Steil’s unopposed primary. Traders price the current 68-32 split around these structural factors and the district’s modest Republican tilt, even as Berman’s early general-election ad buy and voter dissatisfaction signals keep the contest competitive heading into November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volume
$10,042Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Bryan Steil holds a clear edge in Wisconsin’s 1st Congressional District due to the seat’s R+2 Partisan Voter Index, his established name recognition, and a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $5 million. Mitchell Berman, an ER nurse who won the Democratic primary in August, has narrowed the gap in recent internal polling to within a point, emphasizing working-class issues and criticism of corporate influence. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican, reflecting historical voting patterns and Steil’s unopposed primary. Traders price the current 68-32 split around these structural factors and the district’s modest Republican tilt, even as Berman’s early general-election ad buy and voter dissatisfaction signals keep the contest competitive heading into November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$10,042Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Bryan Steil holds a clear edge in Wisconsin’s 1st Congressional District due to the seat’s R+2 Partisan Voter Index, his established name recognition, and a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $5 million. Mitchell Berman, an ER nurse who won the Democratic primary in August, has narrowed the gap in recent internal polling to within a point, emphasizing working-class issues and criticism of corporate influence. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican, reflecting historical voting patterns and Steil’s unopposed primary. Traders price the current 68-32 split around these structural factors and the district’s modest Republican tilt, even as Berman’s early general-election ad buy and voter dissatisfaction signals keep the contest competitive heading into November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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