Mark Pocan holds a commanding lead in the WI-02 House race because the solidly Democratic district anchored by Madison has no Republican candidate on the November 3, 2026 ballot. The June 1 filing deadline passed without a GOP entrant, leaving only a Democratic primary that Pocan won decisively on August 11. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with the incumbent’s prior 70-point margins and the district’s long history of returning Democrats. Trader consensus at 97.3% for Pocan therefore tracks the absence of organized opposition and the structural partisan tilt. A realistic challenge would require Pocan’s withdrawal after the primary or an unprecedented surge by a minor-party or write-in candidate, both of which face high barriers in this environment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourWI-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
WI-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$102,288 Vol.
$102,288 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Mark Pocan (D)
97%
Parti républicain
<1%
$102,288 Vol.
$102,288 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Mark Pocan (D)
$62,181 Vol.
97%
Parti républicain
$40,107 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Pocan holds a commanding lead in the WI-02 House race because the solidly Democratic district anchored by Madison has no Republican candidate on the November 3, 2026 ballot. The June 1 filing deadline passed without a GOP entrant, leaving only a Democratic primary that Pocan won decisively on August 11. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with the incumbent’s prior 70-point margins and the district’s long history of returning Democrats. Trader consensus at 97.3% for Pocan therefore tracks the absence of organized opposition and the structural partisan tilt. A realistic challenge would require Pocan’s withdrawal after the primary or an unprecedented surge by a minor-party or write-in candidate, both of which face high barriers in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$102,288Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Pocan holds a commanding lead in the WI-02 House race because the solidly Democratic district anchored by Madison has no Republican candidate on the November 3, 2026 ballot. The June 1 filing deadline passed without a GOP entrant, leaving only a Democratic primary that Pocan won decisively on August 11. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with the incumbent’s prior 70-point margins and the district’s long history of returning Democrats. Trader consensus at 97.3% for Pocan therefore tracks the absence of organized opposition and the structural partisan tilt. A realistic challenge would require Pocan’s withdrawal after the primary or an unprecedented surge by a minor-party or write-in candidate, both of which face high barriers in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$102,288Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Pocan holds a commanding lead in the WI-02 House race because the solidly Democratic district anchored by Madison has no Republican candidate on the November 3, 2026 ballot. The June 1 filing deadline passed without a GOP entrant, leaving only a Democratic primary that Pocan won decisively on August 11. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with the incumbent’s prior 70-point margins and the district’s long history of returning Democrats. Trader consensus at 97.3% for Pocan therefore tracks the absence of organized opposition and the structural partisan tilt. A realistic challenge would require Pocan’s withdrawal after the primary or an unprecedented surge by a minor-party or write-in candidate, both of which face high barriers in this environment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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