The Ongo Niua 17 by-election, set for October 8, 2026, features five candidates from villages across Tonga’s remote Niuas islands after the Supreme Court voided Lataifaingata’a Tangimana’s 2025 win on bribery charges involving fish distribution. Nominations closed in early September with Sitiveni Selui, ‘Aisake Hoatatau Finau, Sione Tuifio Hui, Paea ‘i Vaha Filimoehala, and ‘Aminiasi Tonga Pau’u Tangimana registered. Trader consensus shows a tightly contested field with no dominant frontrunner, reflecting the small electorate’s village-based dynamics, limited recent polling data, and absence of major campaign developments since the writ was issued. The outcome will hinge on localized voter preferences ahead of official results from the Tonga Electoral Commission.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourSione Tuifio Hui 43%
Sitiveni Selui 29%
Paea 'i Vaha Filimoehala 28%
'Aisake Hoatatau Finau 27%
Sione Tuifio Hui
43%
Sitiveni Selui
29%
Paea 'i Vaha Filimoehala
28%
'Aisake Hoatatau Finau
27%
'Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana
26%
Sione Tuifio Hui 43%
Sitiveni Selui 29%
Paea 'i Vaha Filimoehala 28%
'Aisake Hoatatau Finau 27%
Sione Tuifio Hui
43%
Sitiveni Selui
29%
Paea 'i Vaha Filimoehala
28%
'Aisake Hoatatau Finau
27%
'Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana
26%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.
If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
Marché ouvert : Sep 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.
If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...The Ongo Niua 17 by-election, set for October 8, 2026, features five candidates from villages across Tonga’s remote Niuas islands after the Supreme Court voided Lataifaingata’a Tangimana’s 2025 win on bribery charges involving fish distribution. Nominations closed in early September with Sitiveni Selui, ‘Aisake Hoatatau Finau, Sione Tuifio Hui, Paea ‘i Vaha Filimoehala, and ‘Aminiasi Tonga Pau’u Tangimana registered. Trader consensus shows a tightly contested field with no dominant frontrunner, reflecting the small electorate’s village-based dynamics, limited recent polling data, and absence of major campaign developments since the writ was issued. The outcome will hinge on localized voter preferences ahead of official results from the Tonga Electoral Commission.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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