Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman holds a commanding position in Wisconsin’s 6th congressional district, an R+8 seat centered on the Fox River Valley including Fond du Lac, Oshkosh, and Sheboygan. Grothman secured 61 percent in 2024 and faces no primary opposition, while Democrat Brad Smith narrowly won his August 11 primary. Forecasters from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. The district’s partisan voter index, Grothman’s incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition, and absence of recent polling shifts or major national headwinds sustain trader consensus near 92 percent for the Republican nominee. A late Democratic surge in turnout, independent candidacy drawing significant support, or unexpected scandal could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourWI-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
WI-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$36,062 Vol.
$36,062 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Glenn Grothman (R)
92%
Brad Smith (D)
6%
$36,062 Vol.
$36,062 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Glenn Grothman (R)
$19,672 Vol.
92%
Brad Smith (D)
$16,390 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman holds a commanding position in Wisconsin’s 6th congressional district, an R+8 seat centered on the Fox River Valley including Fond du Lac, Oshkosh, and Sheboygan. Grothman secured 61 percent in 2024 and faces no primary opposition, while Democrat Brad Smith narrowly won his August 11 primary. Forecasters from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. The district’s partisan voter index, Grothman’s incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition, and absence of recent polling shifts or major national headwinds sustain trader consensus near 92 percent for the Republican nominee. A late Democratic surge in turnout, independent candidacy drawing significant support, or unexpected scandal could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$36,062Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman holds a commanding position in Wisconsin’s 6th congressional district, an R+8 seat centered on the Fox River Valley including Fond du Lac, Oshkosh, and Sheboygan. Grothman secured 61 percent in 2024 and faces no primary opposition, while Democrat Brad Smith narrowly won his August 11 primary. Forecasters from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. The district’s partisan voter index, Grothman’s incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition, and absence of recent polling shifts or major national headwinds sustain trader consensus near 92 percent for the Republican nominee. A late Democratic surge in turnout, independent candidacy drawing significant support, or unexpected scandal could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$36,062Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman holds a commanding position in Wisconsin’s 6th congressional district, an R+8 seat centered on the Fox River Valley including Fond du Lac, Oshkosh, and Sheboygan. Grothman secured 61 percent in 2024 and faces no primary opposition, while Democrat Brad Smith narrowly won his August 11 primary. Forecasters from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. The district’s partisan voter index, Grothman’s incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition, and absence of recent polling shifts or major national headwinds sustain trader consensus near 92 percent for the Republican nominee. A late Democratic surge in turnout, independent candidacy drawing significant support, or unexpected scandal could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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