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icon for Élection au Sénat de Rondônia : 2e place
Politique·Élection Principale

Élection au Sénat de Rondônia : 2e place

icon for Élection au Sénat de Rondônia : 2e place
Politique·Élection Principale

Élection au Sénat de Rondônia : 2e place

Sílvia Cristina 42%

Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 38%

Mariana Carvalho 13.3%

Dr. Fernando Máximo 4.6%

Polymarket

$26,619 Vol.

Sílvia Cristina 42%

Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 38%

Mariana Carvalho 13.3%

Dr. Fernando Máximo 4.6%

Polymarket

$26,619 Vol.

icon for Sílvia Cristina

Sílvia Cristina

$15,045 Vol.

42%

icon for Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid

Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid

$4,752 Vol.

38%

icon for Mariana Carvalho

Mariana Carvalho

$1,592 Vol.

13%

icon for Dr. Fernando Máximo

Dr. Fernando Máximo

$1,224 Vol.

10%

icon for Acir Gurgacz

Acir Gurgacz

$932 Vol.

4%

icon for Aires Mota

Aires Mota

$686 Vol.

3%

icon for Luis Fernando

Luis Fernando

$546 Vol.

1%

icon for Neidinha

Neidinha

$375 Vol.

1%

icon for Luciana Oliveira

Luciana Oliveira

$423 Vol.

1%

icon for Engenheiro Thulio

Engenheiro Thulio

$1,043 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Sílvia Cristina (PP) and Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL) hold the highest implied probabilities for second place in Rondônia’s October 4 Senate contest, where voters select two candidates, reflecting recent polling trends that show Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) leading overall while the second slot remains tightly contested. Surveys from August and early September, including Quaest and Phoenix, place Máximo at 17-20% combined first- and second-choice support, with Cristina, Scheid, and Mariana Carvalho (Republicanos) clustered between 10-15% and within margins of error. High undecided shares (20-30%) and shifts between first- and second-preference votes keep separation limited, as does the dual-vote structure that rewards broad appeal over singular frontrunners. Recent candidate interviews on issues such as garimpo legalization and amnesty have not yet produced measurable polling movement.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$26,619
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Sílvia Cristina (PP) and Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL) hold the highest implied probabilities for second place in Rondônia’s October 4 Senate contest, where voters select two candidates, reflecting recent polling trends that show Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) leading overall while the second slot remains tightly contested. Surveys from August and early September, including Quaest and Phoenix, place Máximo at 17-20% combined first- and second-choice support, with Cristina, Scheid, and Mariana Carvalho (Republicanos) clustered between 10-15% and within margins of error. High undecided shares (20-30%) and shifts between first- and second-preference votes keep separation limited, as does the dual-vote structure that rewards broad appeal over singular frontrunners. Recent candidate interviews on issues such as garimpo legalization and amnesty have not yet produced measurable polling movement.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$26,619
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Will Dr. Fernando Máximo win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?

Will Dr. Fernando Máximo win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?

56%
icon for Will Nicoletti win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?

Will Nicoletti win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?

52%
icon for Leila do Vôlei remportera-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale du District Fédéral en 2026 ?

Leila do Vôlei remportera-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale du District Fédéral en 2026 ?

53%
Oui

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Questions fréquentes

« Élection au Sénat de Rondônia : 2e place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 10 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Sílvia Cristina » à 42%, suivi de « Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid » à 38%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 42¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 42% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Élection au Sénat de Rondônia : 2e place » a généré $26.6K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 17, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Élection au Sénat de Rondônia : 2e place », parcourez les 10 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection au Sénat de Rondônia : 2e place » est « Sílvia Cristina » à 42%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 42% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid » à 38%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection au Sénat de Rondônia : 2e place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.