Recent polling shows a competitive multi-party race heading into the October 5 vote, with the Parti Québécois leading but far from a majority amid leadership transitions at the CAQ and Liberals. This fragmented contest, combined with salient issues such as cost of living, housing, sovereignty, and U.S. trade pressures, has sustained moderate voter interest consistent with the 66% turnout in 2022. Traders assign the highest probability to the 66-70% range because historical participation rates cluster near that level, while the absence of a single dominant mobilization event or widespread apathy keeps the 70%+ band secondary. Advance voting trends and regional dynamics in francophone ridings could still shift final participation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour66-70 % 34%
70-74 % 24%
62-66 % 22%
58-62 % 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 oct. 2026
<58 %
9%
58-62 %
10%
62-66 %
22%
66-70 %
34%
70-74 %
24%
74 %+
8%
66-70 % 34%
70-74 % 24%
62-66 % 22%
58-62 % 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 oct. 2026
<58 %
$374 Vol.
9%
58-62 %
$100 Vol.
10%
62-66 %
$57 Vol.
22%
66-70 %
$191 Vol.
34%
70-74 %
$117 Vol.
24%
74 %+
$233 Vol.
8%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Recent polling shows a competitive multi-party race heading into the October 5 vote, with the Parti Québécois leading but far from a majority amid leadership transitions at the CAQ and Liberals. This fragmented contest, combined with salient issues such as cost of living, housing, sovereignty, and U.S. trade pressures, has sustained moderate voter interest consistent with the 66% turnout in 2022. Traders assign the highest probability to the 66-70% range because historical participation rates cluster near that level, while the absence of a single dominant mobilization event or widespread apathy keeps the 70%+ band secondary. Advance voting trends and regional dynamics in francophone ridings could still shift final participation.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Marché ouvert : Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ET
Volume
$1,072Date de fin
5 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Recent polling shows a competitive multi-party race heading into the October 5 vote, with the Parti Québécois leading but far from a majority amid leadership transitions at the CAQ and Liberals. This fragmented contest, combined with salient issues such as cost of living, housing, sovereignty, and U.S. trade pressures, has sustained moderate voter interest consistent with the 66% turnout in 2022. Traders assign the highest probability to the 66-70% range because historical participation rates cluster near that level, while the absence of a single dominant mobilization event or widespread apathy keeps the 70%+ band secondary. Advance voting trends and regional dynamics in francophone ridings could still shift final participation.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$1,072Date de fin
5 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows a competitive multi-party race heading into the October 5 vote, with the Parti Québécois leading but far from a majority amid leadership transitions at the CAQ and Liberals. This fragmented contest, combined with salient issues such as cost of living, housing, sovereignty, and U.S. trade pressures, has sustained moderate voter interest consistent with the 66% turnout in 2022. Traders assign the highest probability to the 66-70% range because historical participation rates cluster near that level, while the absence of a single dominant mobilization event or widespread apathy keeps the 70%+ band secondary. Advance voting trends and regional dynamics in francophone ridings could still shift final participation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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