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icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Paraíba

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Paraíba

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Paraíba

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Paraíba

Lucas Ribeiro 81%

Efraim Filho 12%

Cícero Lucena 6%

Nilvan Ferreira 1.3%

Polymarket

$62,911 Vol.

Lucas Ribeiro 81%

Efraim Filho 12%

Cícero Lucena 6%

Nilvan Ferreira 1.3%

Polymarket

$62,911 Vol.

icon for Lucas Ribeiro

Lucas Ribeiro

$18,835 Vol.

81%

icon for Efraim Filho

Efraim Filho

$14,318 Vol.

12%

icon for Cícero Lucena

Cícero Lucena

$20,573 Vol.

6%

icon for Nilvan Ferreira

Nilvan Ferreira

$919 Vol.

1%

icon for Veneziano Vital do Rêgo

Veneziano Vital do Rêgo

$2,461 Vol.

1%

icon for Flávio Lúcio

Flávio Lúcio

$902 Vol.

<1%

icon for Romero Rodrigues

Romero Rodrigues

$1,520 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcelo Queiroga

Marcelo Queiroga

$3,384 Vol.

<1%

The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo's resignation to pursue a Senate seat, maintains a commanding lead in recent polls for the October 4 first-round vote. Surveys from AtlasIntel, Quaest, and others place him at 35–43% support, well ahead of Efraim Filho (PL) and Cícero Lucena (MDB) in the low-to-mid 20s or below, with minor candidates trailing far behind. His campaign emphasizes continuity in agronegócio incentives, literacy programs, health regionalization, and job creation, backed by party alliances including Agir. Traders appear to price in his incumbency advantage, structural polling edge, and limited time for rivals to close the gap before the first round.

The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$62,911
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo's resignation to pursue a Senate seat, maintains a commanding lead in recent polls for the October 4 first-round vote. Surveys from AtlasIntel, Quaest, and others place him at 35–43% support, well ahead of Efraim Filho (PL) and Cícero Lucena (MDB) in the low-to-mid 20s or below, with minor candidates trailing far behind. His campaign emphasizes continuity in agronegócio incentives, literacy programs, health regionalization, and job creation, backed by party alliances including Agir. Traders appear to price in his incumbency advantage, structural polling edge, and limited time for rivals to close the gap before the first round.

The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$62,911
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Paraíba » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 8 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Lucas Ribeiro » à 81%, suivi de « Efraim Filho » à 12%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 81¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 81% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Paraíba » a généré $62.9K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jun 12, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Paraíba », parcourez les 8 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Paraíba » est « Lucas Ribeiro » à 81%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 81% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Efraim Filho » à 12%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Paraíba » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.