Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo's resignation to pursue a Senate seat, maintains a commanding lead in recent polls for the October 4 first-round vote. Surveys from AtlasIntel, Quaest, and others place him at 35–43% support, well ahead of Efraim Filho (PL) and Cícero Lucena (MDB) in the low-to-mid 20s or below, with minor candidates trailing far behind. His campaign emphasizes continuity in agronegócio incentives, literacy programs, health regionalization, and job creation, backed by party alliances including Agir. Traders appear to price in his incumbency advantage, structural polling edge, and limited time for rivals to close the gap before the first round.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLucas Ribeiro 81%
Efraim Filho 12%
Cícero Lucena 6%
Nilvan Ferreira 1.3%
$62,911 Vol.
$62,911 Vol.

Lucas Ribeiro
81%

Efraim Filho
12%

Cícero Lucena
6%

Nilvan Ferreira
1%

Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
1%

Flávio Lúcio
<1%

Romero Rodrigues
<1%

Marcelo Queiroga
<1%
Lucas Ribeiro 81%
Efraim Filho 12%
Cícero Lucena 6%
Nilvan Ferreira 1.3%
$62,911 Vol.
$62,911 Vol.

Lucas Ribeiro
81%

Efraim Filho
12%

Cícero Lucena
6%

Nilvan Ferreira
1%

Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
1%

Flávio Lúcio
<1%

Romero Rodrigues
<1%

Marcelo Queiroga
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marché ouvert : Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo's resignation to pursue a Senate seat, maintains a commanding lead in recent polls for the October 4 first-round vote. Surveys from AtlasIntel, Quaest, and others place him at 35–43% support, well ahead of Efraim Filho (PL) and Cícero Lucena (MDB) in the low-to-mid 20s or below, with minor candidates trailing far behind. His campaign emphasizes continuity in agronegócio incentives, literacy programs, health regionalization, and job creation, backed by party alliances including Agir. Traders appear to price in his incumbency advantage, structural polling edge, and limited time for rivals to close the gap before the first round.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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