The tight trader consensus around Nuevo León’s 2027 gubernatorial race reflects a fragmented field more than a year before the vote, with no candidate or party holding a commanding position. Recent surveys show Movimiento Ciudadano, Morena, and a potential PRI-PAN alliance each drawing roughly 20-30 percent support in head-to-head or multi-candidate scenarios, while internal party preferences remain unsettled. Adrián de la Garza leads PRI positioning, Luis Donaldo Colosio and Mariana Rodríguez compete for Movimiento Ciudadano backing, and several Morena figures including Andrés Mijes, Waldo Fernández, and Clara Luz Flores vie for that nomination. Key variables that could shift probabilities include final candidate selections, any PRI-PAN alliance decision, and the impact of national party trends on state-level turnout.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAdrián de la Garza Santos 25%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 20.3%
Mariana Rodríguez Cantú 18.2%
Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla 5.0%
$51,756 Vol.
$51,756 Vol.

Adrián de la Garza Santos
25%

Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas
20%

Mariana Rodríguez Cantú
18%

Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla
5%

Andrés Mijes Llovera
5%

Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo
4%

Judith Díaz Delgado
4%

Waldo Fernández González
4%

Félix Arratia Cruz
3%

Jesús Alberto Elizondo
3%

Martha Herrera González
3%

Clara Luz Flores Carrales
3%

Héctor García García
3%

Carlos de la Fuente Flores
2%

Felipe de Jesús Cantú Rodríguez
2%

Raúl Lozano Caballero
2%

Miguel Flores Serna
2%

Arturo Salinas Garza
2%

Daniel Carrillo Martínez
2%

Annia Gómez Cárdenas
1%

Fernando Margáin Berlanga
1%
Adrián de la Garza Santos 25%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 20.3%
Mariana Rodríguez Cantú 18.2%
Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla 5.0%
$51,756 Vol.
$51,756 Vol.

Adrián de la Garza Santos
25%

Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas
20%

Mariana Rodríguez Cantú
18%

Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla
5%

Andrés Mijes Llovera
5%

Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo
4%

Judith Díaz Delgado
4%

Waldo Fernández González
4%

Félix Arratia Cruz
3%

Jesús Alberto Elizondo
3%

Martha Herrera González
3%

Clara Luz Flores Carrales
3%

Héctor García García
3%

Carlos de la Fuente Flores
2%

Felipe de Jesús Cantú Rodríguez
2%

Raúl Lozano Caballero
2%

Miguel Flores Serna
2%

Arturo Salinas Garza
2%

Daniel Carrillo Martínez
2%

Annia Gómez Cárdenas
1%

Fernando Margáin Berlanga
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Marché ouvert : Aug 5, 2026, 7:02 AM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...The tight trader consensus around Nuevo León’s 2027 gubernatorial race reflects a fragmented field more than a year before the vote, with no candidate or party holding a commanding position. Recent surveys show Movimiento Ciudadano, Morena, and a potential PRI-PAN alliance each drawing roughly 20-30 percent support in head-to-head or multi-candidate scenarios, while internal party preferences remain unsettled. Adrián de la Garza leads PRI positioning, Luis Donaldo Colosio and Mariana Rodríguez compete for Movimiento Ciudadano backing, and several Morena figures including Andrés Mijes, Waldo Fernández, and Clara Luz Flores vie for that nomination. Key variables that could shift probabilities include final candidate selections, any PRI-PAN alliance decision, and the impact of national party trends on state-level turnout.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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