Chris Stigall secured the Republican nomination for Missouri’s 6th Congressional District in the August 4 primary with 44 percent of the vote, backed by retiring incumbent Sam Graves, positioning him as the clear favorite in a district that delivered over 70 percent support for Republicans in the prior cycle. The open seat remains structurally Republican-leaning, with forecasts from multiple outlets rating it safe or solid for the party ahead of the November 3 general election. Josh Smead’s Democratic primary win has not shifted the underlying partisan dynamics. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for these structural advantages while leaving limited room for late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts, candidate controversies, or national political swings that could narrow the margin in the final weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMO-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MO-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$43,095 Vol.
$43,095 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Chris Stigall (R)
95%
Josh Smead (D)
6%
$43,095 Vol.
$43,095 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Chris Stigall (R)
$27,455 Vol.
95%
Josh Smead (D)
$15,640 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chris Stigall secured the Republican nomination for Missouri’s 6th Congressional District in the August 4 primary with 44 percent of the vote, backed by retiring incumbent Sam Graves, positioning him as the clear favorite in a district that delivered over 70 percent support for Republicans in the prior cycle. The open seat remains structurally Republican-leaning, with forecasts from multiple outlets rating it safe or solid for the party ahead of the November 3 general election. Josh Smead’s Democratic primary win has not shifted the underlying partisan dynamics. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for these structural advantages while leaving limited room for late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts, candidate controversies, or national political swings that could narrow the margin in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$43,095Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chris Stigall secured the Republican nomination for Missouri’s 6th Congressional District in the August 4 primary with 44 percent of the vote, backed by retiring incumbent Sam Graves, positioning him as the clear favorite in a district that delivered over 70 percent support for Republicans in the prior cycle. The open seat remains structurally Republican-leaning, with forecasts from multiple outlets rating it safe or solid for the party ahead of the November 3 general election. Josh Smead’s Democratic primary win has not shifted the underlying partisan dynamics. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for these structural advantages while leaving limited room for late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts, candidate controversies, or national political swings that could narrow the margin in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$43,095Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Chris Stigall secured the Republican nomination for Missouri’s 6th Congressional District in the August 4 primary with 44 percent of the vote, backed by retiring incumbent Sam Graves, positioning him as the clear favorite in a district that delivered over 70 percent support for Republicans in the prior cycle. The open seat remains structurally Republican-leaning, with forecasts from multiple outlets rating it safe or solid for the party ahead of the November 3 general election. Josh Smead’s Democratic primary win has not shifted the underlying partisan dynamics. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for these structural advantages while leaving limited room for late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts, candidate controversies, or national political swings that could narrow the margin in the final weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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