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icon for Élection au Sénat du Michigan : participation
Politique·MOV à Mi-parcours

Élection au Sénat du Michigan : participation

icon for Élection au Sénat du Michigan : participation
Politique·MOV à Mi-parcours

Élection au Sénat du Michigan : participation

4,6M-4,8M 45.1%

4,8M-5M 20%

4,4M-4,6M 20%

5,6 M+ 5.1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

4,6M-4,8M 45.1%

4,8M-5M 20%

4,4M-4,6M 20%

5,6 M+ 5.1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

<4,2M

$278 Vol.

3%

4,2M-4,4M

$249 Vol.

1%

4,4M-4,6M

$2,010 Vol.

20%

4,6M-4,8M

$750 Vol.

45%

4,8M-5M

$1,840 Vol.

20%

5M-5,2M

$251 Vol.

11%

5,2M-5,4M

$2,410 Vol.

1%

5,4M-5,6M

$1,307 Vol.

1%

5,6 M+

$463 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The competitive toss-up between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers for Michigan’s open U.S. Senate seat drives trader expectations for solid midterm turnout. Recent polling shows a narrow race with margins inside the margin of error, energizing both parties’ bases and independents around economic concerns such as auto tariffs and manufacturing. The August Democratic primary drew record participation exceeding 2.5 million voters, signaling sustained engagement that could carry into the general election. Michigan’s established patterns of reliable midterm turnout, supported by expanded early and absentee voting options, support probabilities clustering in the 4.6–5 million range without evident catalysts for record highs or sharp drops.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,557
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 10:13 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The competitive toss-up between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers for Michigan’s open U.S. Senate seat drives trader expectations for solid midterm turnout. Recent polling shows a narrow race with margins inside the margin of error, energizing both parties’ bases and independents around economic concerns such as auto tariffs and manufacturing. The August Democratic primary drew record participation exceeding 2.5 million voters, signaling sustained engagement that could carry into the general election. Michigan’s established patterns of reliable midterm turnout, supported by expanded early and absentee voting options, support probabilities clustering in the 4.6–5 million range without evident catalysts for record highs or sharp drops.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,557
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 10:13 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Le nombre total de votes exprimés lors des élections législatives de mi-mandat de 2026 pour le poste de sénateur du Minnesota sera-t-il compris entre 2 750 000 et 2 900 000 ?

Le nombre total de votes exprimés lors des élections législatives de mi-mandat de 2026 pour le poste de sénateur du Minnesota sera-t-il compris entre 2 750 000 et 2 900 000 ?

40%
Oui
icon for Le nombre total de votes exprimés lors de l'élection de mi-mandat de 2026 pour le poste de sénateur de l'Alabama sera-t-il inférieur à 1 200 000 ?

Le nombre total de votes exprimés lors de l'élection de mi-mandat de 2026 pour le poste de sénateur de l'Alabama sera-t-il inférieur à 1 200 000 ?

26%
Oui
icon for Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be between 4,250,000 and 4,500,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be between 4,250,000 and 4,500,000?

41%

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection au Sénat du Michigan : participation » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 9 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 4,6M-4,8M » à 45%, suivi de « 4,4M-4,6M » à 20%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 45¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Élection au Sénat du Michigan : participation » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 18, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Élection au Sénat du Michigan : participation », parcourez les 9 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection au Sénat du Michigan : participation » est « 4,6M-4,8M » à 45%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 4,4M-4,6M » à 20%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection au Sénat du Michigan : participation » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.