In the low-competition 2026 Massachusetts Senate general election, incumbent Democrat Ed Markey’s decisive primary victory over Seth Moulton and his wide lead over Republican John Deaton have produced limited voter enthusiasm in a solidly Democratic state. Midterm turnout historically falls well below presidential levels, with recent cycles showing roughly 2.5 million ballots cast in 2022 compared with over 3.5 million in 2024. Traders are weighting typical midterm drop-off, modest early-voting and mail-ballot volumes, and the absence of competitive down-ballot races that might boost participation. The closely matched leading ranges around 2.65–2.95 million votes reflect uncertainty over whether standard turnout patterns will hold or shift modestly with final get-out-the-vote efforts and registration trends ahead of November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÉlection au Sénat du Massachusetts : participation
Élection au Sénat du Massachusetts : participation
2,8M-2,95M 34%
2,65 M-2,8 M 32%
2,95M-3,1M 16%
2,35M-2,5M 13.3%
<2,2M
7%
2,2M-2,35M
7%
2,35M-2,5M
13%
2,5M-2,65M
10%
2,65 M-2,8 M
32%
2,8M-2,95M
34%
2,95M-3,1M
16%
3,1M+
10%
2,8M-2,95M 34%
2,65 M-2,8 M 32%
2,95M-3,1M 16%
2,35M-2,5M 13.3%
<2,2M
7%
2,2M-2,35M
7%
2,35M-2,5M
13%
2,5M-2,65M
10%
2,65 M-2,8 M
32%
2,8M-2,95M
34%
2,95M-3,1M
16%
3,1M+
10%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 18, 2026, 10:33 AM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...In the low-competition 2026 Massachusetts Senate general election, incumbent Democrat Ed Markey’s decisive primary victory over Seth Moulton and his wide lead over Republican John Deaton have produced limited voter enthusiasm in a solidly Democratic state. Midterm turnout historically falls well below presidential levels, with recent cycles showing roughly 2.5 million ballots cast in 2022 compared with over 3.5 million in 2024. Traders are weighting typical midterm drop-off, modest early-voting and mail-ballot volumes, and the absence of competitive down-ballot races that might boost participation. The closely matched leading ranges around 2.65–2.95 million votes reflect uncertainty over whether standard turnout patterns will hold or shift modestly with final get-out-the-vote efforts and registration trends ahead of November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
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