The uncompetitive nature of Wyoming’s November 3 Senate contest, with Republican nominee Harriet Hageman holding a decisive edge over Democrat James Byrd in a solidly Republican state, anchors trader expectations for turnout near 200,000 votes. Hageman’s August primary win and the absence of major campaign catalysts have produced limited mobilization on either side, consistent with historical midterm patterns showing roughly 45 percent participation among registered voters. Factors such as typical drop-off from presidential-year levels, variable rural engagement, and potential Election Day weather continue to keep the 190K-210K and 210K-230K brackets closely matched while capping prospects for significant deviation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÉlection au Sénat du Wyoming : participation
Élection au Sénat du Wyoming : participation
190K-210K 45%
210K-230K 34%
170K-190K 16%
250 k+ 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
<150K
3%
150K-170K
4%
170K-190K
11%
190K-210K
45%
210K-230K
34%
230K-250K
3%
250 k+
6%
190K-210K 45%
210K-230K 34%
170K-190K 16%
250 k+ 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
<150K
$246 Vol.
3%
150K-170K
$87 Vol.
4%
170K-190K
$196 Vol.
11%
190K-210K
$2,463 Vol.
45%
210K-230K
$397 Vol.
34%
230K-250K
$109 Vol.
3%
250 k+
$572 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The uncompetitive nature of Wyoming’s November 3 Senate contest, with Republican nominee Harriet Hageman holding a decisive edge over Democrat James Byrd in a solidly Republican state, anchors trader expectations for turnout near 200,000 votes. Hageman’s August primary win and the absence of major campaign catalysts have produced limited mobilization on either side, consistent with historical midterm patterns showing roughly 45 percent participation among registered voters. Factors such as typical drop-off from presidential-year levels, variable rural engagement, and potential Election Day weather continue to keep the 190K-210K and 210K-230K brackets closely matched while capping prospects for significant deviation.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
Volume
$4,070Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The uncompetitive nature of Wyoming’s November 3 Senate contest, with Republican nominee Harriet Hageman holding a decisive edge over Democrat James Byrd in a solidly Republican state, anchors trader expectations for turnout near 200,000 votes. Hageman’s August primary win and the absence of major campaign catalysts have produced limited mobilization on either side, consistent with historical midterm patterns showing roughly 45 percent participation among registered voters. Factors such as typical drop-off from presidential-year levels, variable rural engagement, and potential Election Day weather continue to keep the 190K-210K and 210K-230K brackets closely matched while capping prospects for significant deviation.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,070Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The uncompetitive nature of Wyoming’s November 3 Senate contest, with Republican nominee Harriet Hageman holding a decisive edge over Democrat James Byrd in a solidly Republican state, anchors trader expectations for turnout near 200,000 votes. Hageman’s August primary win and the absence of major campaign catalysts have produced limited mobilization on either side, consistent with historical midterm patterns showing roughly 45 percent participation among registered voters. Factors such as typical drop-off from presidential-year levels, variable rural engagement, and potential Election Day weather continue to keep the 190K-210K and 210K-230K brackets closely matched while capping prospects for significant deviation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
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