Ashley Moody holds a strong 76.5% implied probability of carrying Miami-Dade County in the November 3, 2026, Florida U.S. Senate special election, compared with 25.5% for Democratic nominee Angie Nixon. Moody secured the Republican nomination with nearly 80% in the August primary after her appointment to the seat vacated by Marco Rubio. Nixon upset Alex Vindman in the Democratic primary through intensive field organizing. Statewide polling from early September shows Moody ahead by roughly 7 points, with over 90% of voters reporting firm preferences, while recent forecasts rate the overall race as leaning Republican. Miami-Dade’s recent rightward shift among key voting blocs and Moody’s incumbency advantage and fundraising edge underpin trader positioning, though Nixon continues targeted outreach in urban areas ahead of Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Ashley Moody (R)
77%
Angie Nixon (D)
26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Ashley Moody (R)
$1,447 Vol.
77%
Angie Nixon (D)
$1,419 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Miami-Dade County in the general special election for United States Senator from Florida, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Florida, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Miami-Dade County.Ashley Moody holds a strong 76.5% implied probability of carrying Miami-Dade County in the November 3, 2026, Florida U.S. Senate special election, compared with 25.5% for Democratic nominee Angie Nixon. Moody secured the Republican nomination with nearly 80% in the August primary after her appointment to the seat vacated by Marco Rubio. Nixon upset Alex Vindman in the Democratic primary through intensive field organizing. Statewide polling from early September shows Moody ahead by roughly 7 points, with over 90% of voters reporting firm preferences, while recent forecasts rate the overall race as leaning Republican. Miami-Dade’s recent rightward shift among key voting blocs and Moody’s incumbency advantage and fundraising edge underpin trader positioning, though Nixon continues targeted outreach in urban areas ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Miami-Dade County in the general special election for United States Senator from Florida, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Florida, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Miami-Dade County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Florida, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Miami-Dade County.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 12:41 PM ET
Volume
$2,866Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:41 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Miami-Dade County in the general special election for United States Senator from Florida, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Florida, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Miami-Dade County.Ashley Moody holds a strong 76.5% implied probability of carrying Miami-Dade County in the November 3, 2026, Florida U.S. Senate special election, compared with 25.5% for Democratic nominee Angie Nixon. Moody secured the Republican nomination with nearly 80% in the August primary after her appointment to the seat vacated by Marco Rubio. Nixon upset Alex Vindman in the Democratic primary through intensive field organizing. Statewide polling from early September shows Moody ahead by roughly 7 points, with over 90% of voters reporting firm preferences, while recent forecasts rate the overall race as leaning Republican. Miami-Dade’s recent rightward shift among key voting blocs and Moody’s incumbency advantage and fundraising edge underpin trader positioning, though Nixon continues targeted outreach in urban areas ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Miami-Dade County in the general special election for United States Senator from Florida, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Florida, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Miami-Dade County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Florida, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Miami-Dade County.
Volume
$2,866Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:41 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Ashley Moody holds a strong 76.5% implied probability of carrying Miami-Dade County in the November 3, 2026, Florida U.S. Senate special election, compared with 25.5% for Democratic nominee Angie Nixon. Moody secured the Republican nomination with nearly 80% in the August primary after her appointment to the seat vacated by Marco Rubio. Nixon upset Alex Vindman in the Democratic primary through intensive field organizing. Statewide polling from early September shows Moody ahead by roughly 7 points, with over 90% of voters reporting firm preferences, while recent forecasts rate the overall race as leaning Republican. Miami-Dade’s recent rightward shift among key voting blocs and Moody’s incumbency advantage and fundraising edge underpin trader positioning, though Nixon continues targeted outreach in urban areas ahead of Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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