Mary Peltola leads the Alaska Senate race in trader consensus after advancing from the August 2026 top-four primary with 49.5% of the vote, ahead of incumbent Dan Sullivan at 41.4%. The November 3 general election uses ranked-choice voting among Peltola, Sullivan, a second Republican named Dan Sullivan, and Democrat David Leslie. Peltola’s primary strength, substantial fundraising edge in recent quarters, and appeal among Alaska Native and independent voters have supported her position, while a recent debate highlighted differences on fishing industry issues such as fuel costs and foreign trawling. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up, with Sullivan benefiting from the state’s Republican lean and incumbency but facing a narrower path under current polling averages.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections sénatoriales en Alaska
Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales en Alaska
Mary Peltola 68%
Sén. Dan Sullivan 34%
Richard Grayson <1%
David Leslie <1%
$483,766 Vol.
$483,766 Vol.
Mary Peltola
68%
Sén. Dan Sullivan
34%
Richard Grayson
<1%
David Leslie
<1%
Ann Diener
<1%
Dustin Darden
<1%
Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.
<1%
Mary Peltola 68%
Sén. Dan Sullivan 34%
Richard Grayson <1%
David Leslie <1%
$483,766 Vol.
$483,766 Vol.
Mary Peltola
68%
Sén. Dan Sullivan
34%
Richard Grayson
<1%
David Leslie
<1%
Ann Diener
<1%
Dustin Darden
<1%
Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Résolveur
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Résolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Mary Peltola leads the Alaska Senate race in trader consensus after advancing from the August 2026 top-four primary with 49.5% of the vote, ahead of incumbent Dan Sullivan at 41.4%. The November 3 general election uses ranked-choice voting among Peltola, Sullivan, a second Republican named Dan Sullivan, and Democrat David Leslie. Peltola’s primary strength, substantial fundraising edge in recent quarters, and appeal among Alaska Native and independent voters have supported her position, while a recent debate highlighted differences on fishing industry issues such as fuel costs and foreign trawling. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up, with Sullivan benefiting from the state’s Republican lean and incumbency but facing a narrower path under current polling averages.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins va-t-il gagner l'élection du gouverneur de l'Alaska en 2026 ?
Les démocrates vont-ils remporter les élections au Sénat et au poste de gouverneur en Alaska ?
Le nombre total de votes exprimés lors des élections de mi-mandat de 2026 pour le poste de sénateur de l’Alaska sera-t-il compris entre 275 000 et 290 000 ?
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