Minnesota's long Democratic lean in Senate contests, with no Republican victory since 2002, anchors trader consensus behind Peggy Flanagan for the open seat left by retiring Sen. Tina Smith. Flanagan secured the DFL nomination in August after defeating Rep. Angie Craig in the primary and enters the general election with established party support and name recognition as lieutenant governor. Recent polling shows a competitive race with Flanagan ahead by low single digits, yet state fundamentals and historical patterns sustain the elevated implied probability for her win on November 3. A shift in national conditions, unusually high Republican turnout tied to state issues, or late developments could narrow the gap.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Minnesota
$68,624 Vol.
$68,624 Vol.

Peggy Flanagan (D)
92%

Michele Tafoya (R)
9%
$68,624 Vol.
$68,624 Vol.

Peggy Flanagan (D)
92%

Michele Tafoya (R)
9%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Résolveur
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Résolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's long Democratic lean in Senate contests, with no Republican victory since 2002, anchors trader consensus behind Peggy Flanagan for the open seat left by retiring Sen. Tina Smith. Flanagan secured the DFL nomination in August after defeating Rep. Angie Craig in the primary and enters the general election with established party support and name recognition as lieutenant governor. Recent polling shows a competitive race with Flanagan ahead by low single digits, yet state fundamentals and historical patterns sustain the elevated implied probability for her win on November 3. A shift in national conditions, unusually high Republican turnout tied to state issues, or late developments could narrow the gap.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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