Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the strongest position in the Maranhão Senate race for one of two seats elected October 4, with recent polls such as Quaest (late August) showing her at 16% consolidated support, ahead of Weverton Rocha (PDT) at 11% and Lahesio Bonfim (Novo) at 10%. Her lead reflects high name recognition from prior governorships and Senate service, plus an MDB-led coalition that formalized her candidacy in July following her recovery from cancer treatment. The fragmented field, including André Fufuca (PP), Eliziane Gama (PT), and others with single-digit or lower shares, keeps the top two spots competitive, as voters select up to two candidates in a single round. Trader consensus on her first-place probability aligns with this polling edge and structural advantages, while lower odds for remaining names reflect limited momentum in the final pre-campaign window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourRoseana Sarney 62%
Lahesio Bonfim 11.2%
Weverton Rocha 7.5%
Fufuca 6.8%
$26,133 Vol.
$26,133 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
Roseana Sarney
62%
Lahesio Bonfim
11%
Weverton Rocha
8%
Fufuca
7%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
1%
Raimundo Moreira
<1%
Simplício Araújo
<1%
Eliziane Gama
<1%
Wilson Leite
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
<1%
Roseana Sarney 62%
Lahesio Bonfim 11.2%
Weverton Rocha 7.5%
Fufuca 6.8%
$26,133 Vol.
$26,133 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
Roseana Sarney
$16,918 Vol.
62%
Lahesio Bonfim
$3,795 Vol.
11%
Weverton Rocha
$2,252 Vol.
8%
Fufuca
$527 Vol.
7%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
$391 Vol.
1%
Raimundo Moreira
$412 Vol.
<1%
Simplício Araújo
$367 Vol.
<1%
Eliziane Gama
$395 Vol.
<1%
Wilson Leite
$389 Vol.
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
$405 Vol.
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
$282 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the strongest position in the Maranhão Senate race for one of two seats elected October 4, with recent polls such as Quaest (late August) showing her at 16% consolidated support, ahead of Weverton Rocha (PDT) at 11% and Lahesio Bonfim (Novo) at 10%. Her lead reflects high name recognition from prior governorships and Senate service, plus an MDB-led coalition that formalized her candidacy in July following her recovery from cancer treatment. The fragmented field, including André Fufuca (PP), Eliziane Gama (PT), and others with single-digit or lower shares, keeps the top two spots competitive, as voters select up to two candidates in a single round. Trader consensus on her first-place probability aligns with this polling edge and structural advantages, while lower odds for remaining names reflect limited momentum in the final pre-campaign window.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
Volume
$26,133Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the strongest position in the Maranhão Senate race for one of two seats elected October 4, with recent polls such as Quaest (late August) showing her at 16% consolidated support, ahead of Weverton Rocha (PDT) at 11% and Lahesio Bonfim (Novo) at 10%. Her lead reflects high name recognition from prior governorships and Senate service, plus an MDB-led coalition that formalized her candidacy in July following her recovery from cancer treatment. The fragmented field, including André Fufuca (PP), Eliziane Gama (PT), and others with single-digit or lower shares, keeps the top two spots competitive, as voters select up to two candidates in a single round. Trader consensus on her first-place probability aligns with this polling edge and structural advantages, while lower odds for remaining names reflect limited momentum in the final pre-campaign window.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$26,133Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the strongest position in the Maranhão Senate race for one of two seats elected October 4, with recent polls such as Quaest (late August) showing her at 16% consolidated support, ahead of Weverton Rocha (PDT) at 11% and Lahesio Bonfim (Novo) at 10%. Her lead reflects high name recognition from prior governorships and Senate service, plus an MDB-led coalition that formalized her candidacy in July following her recovery from cancer treatment. The fragmented field, including André Fufuca (PP), Eliziane Gama (PT), and others with single-digit or lower shares, keeps the top two spots competitive, as voters select up to two candidates in a single round. Trader consensus on her first-place probability aligns with this polling edge and structural advantages, while lower odds for remaining names reflect limited momentum in the final pre-campaign window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes