Skip to main content

Pour trader aux États-Unis, va sur polymarket.us

icon for Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Kansas
Élections·Midterms

Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Kansas

icon for Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Kansas
Élections·Midterms

Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Kansas

Polymarket

$46,467 Vol.

Polymarket

$46,467 Vol.

icon for Roger Marshall (R)

Roger Marshall (R)

$30,174 Vol.

81%

icon for Adam Hamilton (D)

Adam Hamilton (D)

$16,293 Vol.

19%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a strong position in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican voting patterns, including double-digit margins in recent presidential elections, and his established Senate record since 2021. Adam Hamilton, a pastor who won a fragmented Democratic primary in August, has raised significant early funds and narrowed the gap in some polling averages to within a few points, prompting forecasters to rate the contest as likely Republican rather than safe. However, Kansas has not elected a Democratic senator since 1932, and Marshall benefits from incumbency advantages in a midterm environment. The November 3 general election outcome remains the resolution trigger, with trader consensus reflecting these structural and historical factors over Hamilton's visibility gains.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$46,467
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a strong position in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican voting patterns, including double-digit margins in recent presidential elections, and his established Senate record since 2021. Adam Hamilton, a pastor who won a fragmented Democratic primary in August, has raised significant early funds and narrowed the gap in some polling averages to within a few points, prompting forecasters to rate the contest as likely Republican rather than safe. However, Kansas has not elected a Democratic senator since 1932, and Marshall benefits from incumbency advantages in a midterm environment. The November 3 general election outcome remains the resolution trigger, with trader consensus reflecting these structural and historical factors over Hamilton's visibility gains.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$46,467
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...

Connexes

icon for Les Républicains vont-ils remporter la course au Sénat de l'Oklahoma en 2026 ?

Les Républicains vont-ils remporter la course au Sénat de l'Oklahoma en 2026 ?

95%
Oui
icon for Les Républicains vont-ils gagner l'élection sénatoriale du Kentucky en 2026 ?

Les Républicains vont-ils gagner l'élection sénatoriale du Kentucky en 2026 ?

96%
Oui
icon for Les démocrates vont-ils remporter la course au Sénat du Colorado en 2026 ?

Les démocrates vont-ils remporter la course au Sénat du Colorado en 2026 ?

96%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Kansas » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Roger Marshall (R) » à 81%, suivi de « Adam Hamilton (D) » à 19%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 81¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 81% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Kansas » a généré $46.5K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Oct 13, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Kansas », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Kansas » est « Roger Marshall (R) » à 81%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 81% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Adam Hamilton (D) » à 19%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Kansas » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.