Incumbent Democratic Sen. John Hickenlooper holds a commanding position in the 2026 Colorado Senate race, reflected in trader consensus favoring his reelection by a wide margin. He secured the Democratic nomination in June after defeating progressive state Sen. Julie Gonzales by roughly 53% to 47% in the primary, despite a tighter-than-expected contest. Republican nominee Mark Baisley, a state senator, advanced unopposed. Colorado's consistent Democratic lean in recent statewide contests, Hickenlooper's prior service as governor and strong name recognition, and the absence of a competitive Republican challenger have shaped current probabilities. Ratings from multiple forecasters classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Late-breaking national shifts, health events, or unexpected turnout changes could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Colorado
$48,436 Vol.
$48,436 Vol.

John Hickenlooper (D)
96%

Mark Baisley (R)
3%
$48,436 Vol.
$48,436 Vol.

John Hickenlooper (D)
96%

Mark Baisley (R)
3%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Résolveur
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Résolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Sen. John Hickenlooper holds a commanding position in the 2026 Colorado Senate race, reflected in trader consensus favoring his reelection by a wide margin. He secured the Democratic nomination in June after defeating progressive state Sen. Julie Gonzales by roughly 53% to 47% in the primary, despite a tighter-than-expected contest. Republican nominee Mark Baisley, a state senator, advanced unopposed. Colorado's consistent Democratic lean in recent statewide contests, Hickenlooper's prior service as governor and strong name recognition, and the absence of a competitive Republican challenger have shaped current probabilities. Ratings from multiple forecasters classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Late-breaking national shifts, health events, or unexpected turnout changes could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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