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icon for Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales de l'Oklahoma
Politique·Midterms

Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales de l'Oklahoma

icon for Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales de l'Oklahoma
Politique·Midterms

Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales de l'Oklahoma

Polymarket

$20,648 Vol.

Polymarket

$20,648 Vol.

icon for Kevin Hern (R)

Kevin Hern (R)

$14,066 Vol.

95%

icon for N’Kiyla « Jasmine » Thomas (D)

N’Kiyla « Jasmine » Thomas (D)

$6,582 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kevin Hern holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Oklahoma Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance in statewide contests, including a 34-point Trump margin in 2024, combined with his decisive primary win and Trump endorsement. As the open seat vacated by Markwayne Mullin drew limited Democratic competition, Hern outraised opponents significantly and benefited from high name recognition as a sitting congressman. Recent polling shows him ahead by roughly 20 points, aligning with nonpartisan ratings of the race as safely Republican. The November 3 general election outcome could shift only in the event of an unforeseen scandal, major health development, or sharp national political realignment that alters turnout patterns among core voting blocs.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$20,648
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kevin Hern holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Oklahoma Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance in statewide contests, including a 34-point Trump margin in 2024, combined with his decisive primary win and Trump endorsement. As the open seat vacated by Markwayne Mullin drew limited Democratic competition, Hern outraised opponents significantly and benefited from high name recognition as a sitting congressman. Recent polling shows him ahead by roughly 20 points, aligning with nonpartisan ratings of the race as safely Republican. The November 3 general election outcome could shift only in the event of an unforeseen scandal, major health development, or sharp national political realignment that alters turnout patterns among core voting blocs.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$20,648
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...

Connexes

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Les Républicains vont-ils gagner l'élection sénatoriale du Kansas en 2026 ?

80%
Oui
icon for Les démocrates vont-ils gagner l'élection sénatoriale de l'Oregon en 2026 ?

Les démocrates vont-ils gagner l'élection sénatoriale de l'Oregon en 2026 ?

97%
Oui
icon for Les démocrates vont-ils gagner la course au Sénat du Minnesota en 2026 ?

Les démocrates vont-ils gagner la course au Sénat du Minnesota en 2026 ?

92%
Oui

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales de l'Oklahoma » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Kevin Hern (R) » à 95%, suivi de « N’Kiyla « Jasmine » Thomas (D) » à 4%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 95¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 95% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales de l'Oklahoma » a généré $20.6K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Oct 13, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales de l'Oklahoma », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales de l'Oklahoma » est « Kevin Hern (R) » à 95%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 95% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « N’Kiyla « Jasmine » Thomas (D) » à 4%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales de l'Oklahoma » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.