**Market-implied odds for Argentina’s 2026 annual inflation reflect a tight contest between the 30.0-34.9% and 25-29.9% brackets, driven by the ongoing disinflation trajectory under fiscal surplus and exchange-rate stability.** Recent monthly CPI prints have moderated to around 1.9-2.1% amid lower inertia, favorable seasonality, and the fading impact of earlier energy-price shocks, with year-over-year rates near 33% in mid-2026. Central Bank REM surveys and private forecasts cluster around 29-30.5% for December 2026, while the IMF sees a faster decline toward 25%. Traders weigh the pace of relative-price normalization and reserve accumulation against any reacceleration in regulated or service prices. Upcoming monthly INDEC releases through year-end remain the key swing factors that could shift sentiment between these closely matched outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour30,0-34,9 % 52.1%
25-29,9 % 46%
<20 % 1.8%
35–39,9 % 1.7%
$45,889 Vol.
$45,889 Vol.
9 janv. 2027
<20 %
2%
20-24,9 %
1%
25-29,9 %
46%
30,0-34,9 %
52%
35–39,9 %
2%
40-44,9 %
1%
45 %+
1%
30,0-34,9 % 52.1%
25-29,9 % 46%
<20 % 1.8%
35–39,9 % 1.7%
$45,889 Vol.
$45,889 Vol.
9 janv. 2027
<20 %
$4,653 Vol.
2%
20-24,9 %
$3,231 Vol.
1%
25-29,9 %
$13,669 Vol.
46%
30,0-34,9 %
$13,795 Vol.
52%
35–39,9 %
$3,531 Vol.
2%
40-44,9 %
$3,564 Vol.
1%
45 %+
$3,445 Vol.
1%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Market-implied odds for Argentina’s 2026 annual inflation reflect a tight contest between the 30.0-34.9% and 25-29.9% brackets, driven by the ongoing disinflation trajectory under fiscal surplus and exchange-rate stability.** Recent monthly CPI prints have moderated to around 1.9-2.1% amid lower inertia, favorable seasonality, and the fading impact of earlier energy-price shocks, with year-over-year rates near 33% in mid-2026. Central Bank REM surveys and private forecasts cluster around 29-30.5% for December 2026, while the IMF sees a faster decline toward 25%. Traders weigh the pace of relative-price normalization and reserve accumulation against any reacceleration in regulated or service prices. Upcoming monthly INDEC releases through year-end remain the key swing factors that could shift sentiment between these closely matched outcomes.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Marché ouvert : Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Volume
$45,889Date de fin
10 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Market-implied odds for Argentina’s 2026 annual inflation reflect a tight contest between the 30.0-34.9% and 25-29.9% brackets, driven by the ongoing disinflation trajectory under fiscal surplus and exchange-rate stability.** Recent monthly CPI prints have moderated to around 1.9-2.1% amid lower inertia, favorable seasonality, and the fading impact of earlier energy-price shocks, with year-over-year rates near 33% in mid-2026. Central Bank REM surveys and private forecasts cluster around 29-30.5% for December 2026, while the IMF sees a faster decline toward 25%. Traders weigh the pace of relative-price normalization and reserve accumulation against any reacceleration in regulated or service prices. Upcoming monthly INDEC releases through year-end remain the key swing factors that could shift sentiment between these closely matched outcomes.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$45,889Date de fin
10 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...**Market-implied odds for Argentina’s 2026 annual inflation reflect a tight contest between the 30.0-34.9% and 25-29.9% brackets, driven by the ongoing disinflation trajectory under fiscal surplus and exchange-rate stability.** Recent monthly CPI prints have moderated to around 1.9-2.1% amid lower inertia, favorable seasonality, and the fading impact of earlier energy-price shocks, with year-over-year rates near 33% in mid-2026. Central Bank REM surveys and private forecasts cluster around 29-30.5% for December 2026, while the IMF sees a faster decline toward 25%. Traders weigh the pace of relative-price normalization and reserve accumulation against any reacceleration in regulated or service prices. Upcoming monthly INDEC releases through year-end remain the key swing factors that could shift sentiment between these closely matched outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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