**Market-implied odds assign the highest probability (65.5%) to a 0.2% Core CPI MoM reading for August 2026, aligning closely with the median economist forecast of 0.19–0.24%.** Recent July data, which showed a 0.2% MoM increase and a 2.5% YoY pace—the softest annual core reading in several months—has reinforced expectations of gradual disinflation. Offsetting dynamics include softening core goods prices (particularly in tariff-exposed categories) balanced against firmer services and shelter components, with analysts noting potential moderation in owners’ equivalent rent. The September 11 BLS release will resolve the market, and traders view the 0.2% outcome as consistent with the recent trend of contained underlying inflation ahead of the next FOMC meeting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour0,2 % 66%
0,3 % 27%
0,1 % 6%
0,4 % 2.4%
$34,063 Vol.
$34,063 Vol.
10 sept. 2026
≤0,0 %
2%
0,1 %
6%
0,2 %
66%
0,3 %
27%
0,4 %
2%
0,5 %
<1%
0,6 %+
1%
0,2 % 66%
0,3 % 27%
0,1 % 6%
0,4 % 2.4%
$34,063 Vol.
$34,063 Vol.
10 sept. 2026
≤0,0 %
$4,238 Vol.
2%
0,1 %
$5,198 Vol.
6%
0,2 %
$11,081 Vol.
66%
0,3 %
$8,268 Vol.
27%
0,4 %
$3,098 Vol.
2%
0,5 %
$1,218 Vol.
<1%
0,6 %+
$962 Vol.
1%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.**Market-implied odds assign the highest probability (65.5%) to a 0.2% Core CPI MoM reading for August 2026, aligning closely with the median economist forecast of 0.19–0.24%.** Recent July data, which showed a 0.2% MoM increase and a 2.5% YoY pace—the softest annual core reading in several months—has reinforced expectations of gradual disinflation. Offsetting dynamics include softening core goods prices (particularly in tariff-exposed categories) balanced against firmer services and shelter components, with analysts noting potential moderation in owners’ equivalent rent. The September 11 BLS release will resolve the market, and traders view the 0.2% outcome as consistent with the recent trend of contained underlying inflation ahead of the next FOMC meeting.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 10:16 AM ET
Volume
$34,063Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 10:16 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.**Market-implied odds assign the highest probability (65.5%) to a 0.2% Core CPI MoM reading for August 2026, aligning closely with the median economist forecast of 0.19–0.24%.** Recent July data, which showed a 0.2% MoM increase and a 2.5% YoY pace—the softest annual core reading in several months—has reinforced expectations of gradual disinflation. Offsetting dynamics include softening core goods prices (particularly in tariff-exposed categories) balanced against firmer services and shelter components, with analysts noting potential moderation in owners’ equivalent rent. The September 11 BLS release will resolve the market, and traders view the 0.2% outcome as consistent with the recent trend of contained underlying inflation ahead of the next FOMC meeting.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$34,063Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 10:16 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds assign the highest probability (65.5%) to a 0.2% Core CPI MoM reading for August 2026, aligning closely with the median economist forecast of 0.19–0.24%.** Recent July data, which showed a 0.2% MoM increase and a 2.5% YoY pace—the softest annual core reading in several months—has reinforced expectations of gradual disinflation. Offsetting dynamics include softening core goods prices (particularly in tariff-exposed categories) balanced against firmer services and shelter components, with analysts noting potential moderation in owners’ equivalent rent. The September 11 BLS release will resolve the market, and traders view the 0.2% outcome as consistent with the recent trend of contained underlying inflation ahead of the next FOMC meeting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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