Recent energy price rebounds amid Middle East tensions have lifted gasoline costs after July declines, while food prices show modest acceleration, driving consensus forecasts for August headline CPI to center on a 0.3–0.4% month-over-month rise from the prior 0.1% print. Trader positioning on Polymarket reflects this, with the 0.4% outcome holding the highest implied probability at 51.5% as services and shelter components remain sticky despite softening core goods. Year-over-year inflation is expected to hold near 3.4%, above the Fed’s 2% target, with core CPI forecasts clustered around 0.2%. The September 11 release arrives ahead of the FOMC meeting, keeping focus on whether energy-driven upside risks outweigh goods disinflation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour0,4 % 52%
0,3 % 36%
≥0,5 % 13%
0,2 % 3.4%
$60,549 Vol.
$60,549 Vol.
10 sept. 2026
≤-0,3 %
<1%
-0,2 %
<1%
-0,1 %
<1%
0,0 %
<1%
0,1 %
<1%
0,2 %
3%
0,3 %
36%
0,4 %
52%
≥0,5 %
13%
0,4 % 52%
0,3 % 36%
≥0,5 % 13%
0,2 % 3.4%
$60,549 Vol.
$60,549 Vol.
10 sept. 2026
≤-0,3 %
$1,295 Vol.
<1%
-0,2 %
$1,290 Vol.
<1%
-0,1 %
$1,644 Vol.
<1%
0,0 %
$2,487 Vol.
<1%
0,1 %
$3,253 Vol.
<1%
0,2 %
$5,270 Vol.
3%
0,3 %
$6,848 Vol.
36%
0,4 %
$12,667 Vol.
52%
≥0,5 %
$25,795 Vol.
13%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent energy price rebounds amid Middle East tensions have lifted gasoline costs after July declines, while food prices show modest acceleration, driving consensus forecasts for August headline CPI to center on a 0.3–0.4% month-over-month rise from the prior 0.1% print. Trader positioning on Polymarket reflects this, with the 0.4% outcome holding the highest implied probability at 51.5% as services and shelter components remain sticky despite softening core goods. Year-over-year inflation is expected to hold near 3.4%, above the Fed’s 2% target, with core CPI forecasts clustered around 0.2%. The September 11 release arrives ahead of the FOMC meeting, keeping focus on whether energy-driven upside risks outweigh goods disinflation.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Volume
$60,549Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent energy price rebounds amid Middle East tensions have lifted gasoline costs after July declines, while food prices show modest acceleration, driving consensus forecasts for August headline CPI to center on a 0.3–0.4% month-over-month rise from the prior 0.1% print. Trader positioning on Polymarket reflects this, with the 0.4% outcome holding the highest implied probability at 51.5% as services and shelter components remain sticky despite softening core goods. Year-over-year inflation is expected to hold near 3.4%, above the Fed’s 2% target, with core CPI forecasts clustered around 0.2%. The September 11 release arrives ahead of the FOMC meeting, keeping focus on whether energy-driven upside risks outweigh goods disinflation.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$60,549Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent energy price rebounds amid Middle East tensions have lifted gasoline costs after July declines, while food prices show modest acceleration, driving consensus forecasts for August headline CPI to center on a 0.3–0.4% month-over-month rise from the prior 0.1% print. Trader positioning on Polymarket reflects this, with the 0.4% outcome holding the highest implied probability at 51.5% as services and shelter components remain sticky despite softening core goods. Year-over-year inflation is expected to hold near 3.4%, above the Fed’s 2% target, with core CPI forecasts clustered around 0.2%. The September 11 release arrives ahead of the FOMC meeting, keeping focus on whether energy-driven upside risks outweigh goods disinflation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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