Recent energy price pressures, including elevated oil costs amid geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, have lifted market-implied odds for the August 2026 PPI YoY to 5.1% or higher at 66%. July’s final demand PPI held flat month-over-month with a 4.7% year-over-year reading—down from 5.5% in June—while core measures eased to 4.2%, reflecting goods deflation offset by services gains. Analysts now project a rebound to roughly 5.3% for August, driven by commodity pass-through and base effects, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the heavy weighting toward the 5.1%+ bucket. The Bureau of Labor Statistics release at 8:30 a.m. ET today represents the key near-term catalyst that could validate or shift these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour5,1 %+ 74%
4,9 % 8.5%
5,0 % 5.3%
4,6 % 4.5%
$20,187 Vol.
$20,187 Vol.
10 sept. 2026
≤4,2 %
1%
4,3 %
1%
4,4 %
1%
4,5 %
2%
4,6 %
5%
4,7 %
4%
4,8 %
4%
4,9 %
8%
5,0 %
5%
5,1 %+
66%
5,1 %+ 74%
4,9 % 8.5%
5,0 % 5.3%
4,6 % 4.5%
$20,187 Vol.
$20,187 Vol.
10 sept. 2026
≤4,2 %
$683 Vol.
1%
4,3 %
$451 Vol.
1%
4,4 %
$372 Vol.
1%
4,5 %
$392 Vol.
2%
4,6 %
$331 Vol.
5%
4,7 %
$678 Vol.
4%
4,8 %
$548 Vol.
4%
4,9 %
$782 Vol.
8%
5,0 %
$2,835 Vol.
5%
5,1 %+
$13,114 Vol.
66%
This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent energy price pressures, including elevated oil costs amid geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, have lifted market-implied odds for the August 2026 PPI YoY to 5.1% or higher at 66%. July’s final demand PPI held flat month-over-month with a 4.7% year-over-year reading—down from 5.5% in June—while core measures eased to 4.2%, reflecting goods deflation offset by services gains. Analysts now project a rebound to roughly 5.3% for August, driven by commodity pass-through and base effects, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the heavy weighting toward the 5.1%+ bucket. The Bureau of Labor Statistics release at 8:30 a.m. ET today represents the key near-term catalyst that could validate or shift these probabilities.
This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Volume
$20,187Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent energy price pressures, including elevated oil costs amid geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, have lifted market-implied odds for the August 2026 PPI YoY to 5.1% or higher at 66%. July’s final demand PPI held flat month-over-month with a 4.7% year-over-year reading—down from 5.5% in June—while core measures eased to 4.2%, reflecting goods deflation offset by services gains. Analysts now project a rebound to roughly 5.3% for August, driven by commodity pass-through and base effects, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the heavy weighting toward the 5.1%+ bucket. The Bureau of Labor Statistics release at 8:30 a.m. ET today represents the key near-term catalyst that could validate or shift these probabilities.
This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$20,187Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent energy price pressures, including elevated oil costs amid geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, have lifted market-implied odds for the August 2026 PPI YoY to 5.1% or higher at 66%. July’s final demand PPI held flat month-over-month with a 4.7% year-over-year reading—down from 5.5% in June—while core measures eased to 4.2%, reflecting goods deflation offset by services gains. Analysts now project a rebound to roughly 5.3% for August, driven by commodity pass-through and base effects, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the heavy weighting toward the 5.1%+ bucket. The Bureau of Labor Statistics release at 8:30 a.m. ET today represents the key near-term catalyst that could validate or shift these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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