Trump's public remarks in May 2026 about considering Venezuela as the 51st state, citing its oil reserves, prompted immediate rejection by acting President Delcy Rodríguez, who affirmed Venezuelan sovereignty and independence. No formal annexation process exists, and U.S. statehood requires congressional majorities in both chambers plus the target territory's consent under Article IV of the Constitution. Venezuela's leadership has shown no interest in such a path, and no legislation or diplomatic negotiations have advanced. With the market resolving only on formal annexation by December 31, 2026, traders see negligible odds of the necessary votes, referendums, or agreements occurring in time. Late developments like congressional action or a sudden Venezuelan policy shift remain theoretically possible but face insurmountable procedural and political obstacles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2% chance
$394,373 Vol.
$394,373 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
2% chance
$394,373 Vol.
$394,373 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump's public remarks in May 2026 about considering Venezuela as the 51st state, citing its oil reserves, prompted immediate rejection by acting President Delcy Rodríguez, who affirmed Venezuelan sovereignty and independence. No formal annexation process exists, and U.S. statehood requires congressional majorities in both chambers plus the target territory's consent under Article IV of the Constitution. Venezuela's leadership has shown no interest in such a path, and no legislation or diplomatic negotiations have advanced. With the market resolving only on formal annexation by December 31, 2026, traders see negligible odds of the necessary votes, referendums, or agreements occurring in time. Late developments like congressional action or a sudden Venezuelan policy shift remain theoretically possible but face insurmountable procedural and political obstacles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ET
Volume
$394,373End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump's public remarks in May 2026 about considering Venezuela as the 51st state, citing its oil reserves, prompted immediate rejection by acting President Delcy Rodríguez, who affirmed Venezuelan sovereignty and independence. No formal annexation process exists, and U.S. statehood requires congressional majorities in both chambers plus the target territory's consent under Article IV of the Constitution. Venezuela's leadership has shown no interest in such a path, and no legislation or diplomatic negotiations have advanced. With the market resolving only on formal annexation by December 31, 2026, traders see negligible odds of the necessary votes, referendums, or agreements occurring in time. Late developments like congressional action or a sudden Venezuelan policy shift remain theoretically possible but face insurmountable procedural and political obstacles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$394,373End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's public remarks in May 2026 about considering Venezuela as the 51st state, citing its oil reserves, prompted immediate rejection by acting President Delcy Rodríguez, who affirmed Venezuelan sovereignty and independence. No formal annexation process exists, and U.S. statehood requires congressional majorities in both chambers plus the target territory's consent under Article IV of the Constitution. Venezuela's leadership has shown no interest in such a path, and no legislation or diplomatic negotiations have advanced. With the market resolving only on formal annexation by December 31, 2026, traders see negligible odds of the necessary votes, referendums, or agreements occurring in time. Late developments like congressional action or a sudden Venezuelan policy shift remain theoretically possible but face insurmountable procedural and political obstacles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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