Current National Weather Service and model guidance show a cold front exiting the eastern U.S. by September 14, reducing widespread precipitation there after heavy rain on the 13th, while a consolidating low over the Northwest sustains unsettled conditions across the northern and central Plains with scattered thunderstorms and locally heavy rainfall possible. Monsoon activity continues over the southern Rockies and Four Corners, and Florida faces a 40% chance of afternoon storms. Ensemble forecasts indicate modest precipitation probabilities outside these regions, with drier, sunnier conditions favored across much of the Northeast and Midwest. Traders monitoring updated NWS QPF discussions and short-range model runs will watch for any shifts in frontal timing or moisture transport that could alter localized rain chances before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will it rain on September 14?
New York, NY
100%
Los Angeles, CA
26%
Chicago, IL
27%
Houston, TX
100%
Dallas, TX
25%
Phoenix, AZ
100%
Philadelphia, PA
27%
Denver, CO
100%
Washington, DC
27%
Atlanta, GA
27%
Miami, FL
100%
Seattle, WA
99%
Boston, MA
100%
New Orleans, LA
100%
San Francisco, CA
25%
$53 Vol.
New York, NY
100%
Los Angeles, CA
26%
Chicago, IL
27%
Houston, TX
100%
Dallas, TX
25%
Phoenix, AZ
100%
Philadelphia, PA
27%
Denver, CO
100%
Washington, DC
27%
Atlanta, GA
27%
Miami, FL
100%
Seattle, WA
99%
Boston, MA
100%
New Orleans, LA
100%
San Francisco, CA
25%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Market Opened: Sep 13, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Current National Weather Service and model guidance show a cold front exiting the eastern U.S. by September 14, reducing widespread precipitation there after heavy rain on the 13th, while a consolidating low over the Northwest sustains unsettled conditions across the northern and central Plains with scattered thunderstorms and locally heavy rainfall possible. Monsoon activity continues over the southern Rockies and Four Corners, and Florida faces a 40% chance of afternoon storms. Ensemble forecasts indicate modest precipitation probabilities outside these regions, with drier, sunnier conditions favored across much of the Northeast and Midwest. Traders monitoring updated NWS QPF discussions and short-range model runs will watch for any shifts in frontal timing or moisture transport that could alter localized rain chances before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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