**Forecast models from sources like GFS, DWD, and others converge on a maximum temperature of 22–23°C for Munich on September 13, 2026, aligning with the closely matched market odds of 41.5% for 22°C and 46% for 23°C.** Current midday conditions show temperatures climbing through the low 20s°C under mostly cloudy skies with westerly winds around 7–10 mph. Afternoon forecasts indicate limited solar heating from cloud cover and a chance of light rain or showers later, which could cap the peak. This is several degrees above the long-term average high of roughly 20°C for the date. The narrow spread between 22°C and 23°C stems from minor differences in model timing of cloud breaks versus precipitation onset and local station measurement variability. Higher outcomes above 24°C carry low implied probability due to the observed cooling influences, while lower values remain possible if showers arrive earlier than expected. Updated official observations and short-term model runs will likely resolve the final maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on September 13?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 13?
23°C 46%
22°C 42%
21°C or below 10%
24°C 6%
$31,921 Vol.
$31,921 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
21°C or below
10%
22°C
42%
23°C
46%
24°C
6%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
23°C 46%
22°C 42%
21°C or below 10%
24°C 6%
$31,921 Vol.
$31,921 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
21°C or below
$8,782 Vol.
10%
22°C
$2,359 Vol.
42%
23°C
$3,151 Vol.
46%
24°C
$7,387 Vol.
6%
25°C
$2,909 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,013 Vol.
1%
27°C
$868 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,270 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,471 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,527 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,183 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like GFS, DWD, and others converge on a maximum temperature of 22–23°C for Munich on September 13, 2026, aligning with the closely matched market odds of 41.5% for 22°C and 46% for 23°C.**
Current midday conditions show temperatures climbing through the low 20s°C under mostly cloudy skies with westerly winds around 7–10 mph. Afternoon forecasts indicate limited solar heating from cloud cover and a chance of light rain or showers later, which could cap the peak. This is several degrees above the long-term average high of roughly 20°C for the date.
The narrow spread between 22°C and 23°C stems from minor differences in model timing of cloud breaks versus precipitation onset and local station measurement variability. Higher outcomes above 24°C carry low implied probability due to the observed cooling influences, while lower values remain possible if showers arrive earlier than expected. Updated official observations and short-term model runs will likely resolve the final maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$31,921End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like GFS, DWD, and others converge on a maximum temperature of 22–23°C for Munich on September 13, 2026, aligning with the closely matched market odds of 41.5% for 22°C and 46% for 23°C.**
Current midday conditions show temperatures climbing through the low 20s°C under mostly cloudy skies with westerly winds around 7–10 mph. Afternoon forecasts indicate limited solar heating from cloud cover and a chance of light rain or showers later, which could cap the peak. This is several degrees above the long-term average high of roughly 20°C for the date.
The narrow spread between 22°C and 23°C stems from minor differences in model timing of cloud breaks versus precipitation onset and local station measurement variability. Higher outcomes above 24°C carry low implied probability due to the observed cooling influences, while lower values remain possible if showers arrive earlier than expected. Updated official observations and short-term model runs will likely resolve the final maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,921End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like GFS, DWD, and others converge on a maximum temperature of 22–23°C for Munich on September 13, 2026, aligning with the closely matched market odds of 41.5% for 22°C and 46% for 23°C.** Current midday conditions show temperatures climbing through the low 20s°C under mostly cloudy skies with westerly winds around 7–10 mph. Afternoon forecasts indicate limited solar heating from cloud cover and a chance of light rain or showers later, which could cap the peak. This is several degrees above the long-term average high of roughly 20°C for the date. The narrow spread between 22°C and 23°C stems from minor differences in model timing of cloud breaks versus precipitation onset and local station measurement variability. Higher outcomes above 24°C carry low implied probability due to the observed cooling influences, while lower values remain possible if showers arrive earlier than expected. Updated official observations and short-term model runs will likely resolve the final maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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