As of mid-September 2026, Central Park has recorded roughly 1 inch of precipitation through the first 13 days, well below the 4.3-inch monthly normal, with an additional 0.3–0.75 inches expected today from a passing system. Official NWS forecasts indicate mostly dry, sunny conditions through at least September 17, followed by only modest 20–40% shower chances later in the period. This early deficit and limited near-term rainfall keep mid-range bins (3–5 inches) competitive while the slim odds of multiple late-month systems or tropical moisture intrusions sustain interest in the >6-inch outcome. Extended-range model spread and typical September variability in steering patterns continue to drive the dispersed market-implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPrecipitation in NYC in September?
Precipitation in NYC in September?
>6" 38%
3-4" 36%
4-5" 22%
5-6" 19.5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 30, 2026
<2"
8%
2-3"
18%
3-4"
22%
4-5"
22%
5-6"
18%
>6"
38%
>6" 38%
3-4" 36%
4-5" 22%
5-6" 19.5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 30, 2026
<2"
$1,490 Vol.
8%
2-3"
$900 Vol.
18%
3-4"
$246 Vol.
22%
4-5"
$716 Vol.
22%
5-6"
$229 Vol.
18%
>6"
$1,503 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.As of mid-September 2026, Central Park has recorded roughly 1 inch of precipitation through the first 13 days, well below the 4.3-inch monthly normal, with an additional 0.3–0.75 inches expected today from a passing system. Official NWS forecasts indicate mostly dry, sunny conditions through at least September 17, followed by only modest 20–40% shower chances later in the period. This early deficit and limited near-term rainfall keep mid-range bins (3–5 inches) competitive while the slim odds of multiple late-month systems or tropical moisture intrusions sustain interest in the >6-inch outcome. Extended-range model spread and typical September variability in steering patterns continue to drive the dispersed market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ET
Volume
$4,899End Date
Oct 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.As of mid-September 2026, Central Park has recorded roughly 1 inch of precipitation through the first 13 days, well below the 4.3-inch monthly normal, with an additional 0.3–0.75 inches expected today from a passing system. Official NWS forecasts indicate mostly dry, sunny conditions through at least September 17, followed by only modest 20–40% shower chances later in the period. This early deficit and limited near-term rainfall keep mid-range bins (3–5 inches) competitive while the slim odds of multiple late-month systems or tropical moisture intrusions sustain interest in the >6-inch outcome. Extended-range model spread and typical September variability in steering patterns continue to drive the dispersed market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,899End Date
Oct 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...As of mid-September 2026, Central Park has recorded roughly 1 inch of precipitation through the first 13 days, well below the 4.3-inch monthly normal, with an additional 0.3–0.75 inches expected today from a passing system. Official NWS forecasts indicate mostly dry, sunny conditions through at least September 17, followed by only modest 20–40% shower chances later in the period. This early deficit and limited near-term rainfall keep mid-range bins (3–5 inches) competitive while the slim odds of multiple late-month systems or tropical moisture intrusions sustain interest in the >6-inch outcome. Extended-range model spread and typical September variability in steering patterns continue to drive the dispersed market-implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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