Recent National Weather Service observations and model guidance indicate active precipitation across the Northeast, driven by a slow-moving frontal system and high precipitable water values supporting efficient rainfall rates exceeding 1-2 inches in parts of New York, New Jersey, and southern New England. Afternoon thunderstorms are also likely in Florida tied to a disturbance between Miami and the Bahamas, while the Midwest and Plains see more scattered or limited activity. NOAA forecasts emphasize urban flooding risks in the Northeast corridor today, with drier conditions prevailing farther west. Traders should monitor updated NWS QPF products and radar trends through evening for final resolution signals on geographic rain occurrence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will it rain on September 13?
New York, NY
82%
Los Angeles, CA
50%
Chicago, IL
52%
Houston, TX
40%
Dallas, TX
50%
Phoenix, AZ
25%
Philadelphia, PA
100%
Denver, CO
43%
Washington, DC
100%
Atlanta, GA
10%
Miami, FL
74%
Seattle, WA
100%
Boston, MA
85%
New Orleans, LA
36%
San Francisco, CA
3%
$2,444 Vol.
New York, NY
82%
Los Angeles, CA
50%
Chicago, IL
52%
Houston, TX
40%
Dallas, TX
50%
Phoenix, AZ
25%
Philadelphia, PA
100%
Denver, CO
43%
Washington, DC
100%
Atlanta, GA
10%
Miami, FL
74%
Seattle, WA
100%
Boston, MA
85%
New Orleans, LA
36%
San Francisco, CA
3%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent National Weather Service observations and model guidance indicate active precipitation across the Northeast, driven by a slow-moving frontal system and high precipitable water values supporting efficient rainfall rates exceeding 1-2 inches in parts of New York, New Jersey, and southern New England. Afternoon thunderstorms are also likely in Florida tied to a disturbance between Miami and the Bahamas, while the Midwest and Plains see more scattered or limited activity. NOAA forecasts emphasize urban flooding risks in the Northeast corridor today, with drier conditions prevailing farther west. Traders should monitor updated NWS QPF products and radar trends through evening for final resolution signals on geographic rain occurrence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions