Trader consensus in the Taipei temperature market centers on 32°C as the leading outcome at 48.5% implied probability, driven by official Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble forecast models projecting a daytime high near 31–32°C for September 14 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Easterly winds and elevated humidity are expected to moderate peak readings, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September in northern Taiwan where afternoon maxima typically range 30–33°C absent strong subsidence or clear skies. Model spread introduces modest uncertainty around the exact threshold, with some runs favoring 33°C if cloud cover thins earlier than anticipated. Updated short-range guidance and real-time observations on the 14th will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on September 14?
Highest temperature in Taipei on September 14?
32°C 49%
33°C 26%
31°C 14%
30°C 5%
NEW
$22,306 Vol.
NEW
$22,306 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
14%
32°C
49%
33°C
26%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 49%
33°C 26%
31°C 14%
30°C 5%
NEW
$22,306 Vol.
NEW
$22,306 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
27°C or below
$822 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$679 Vol.
1%
29°C
$1,924 Vol.
1%
30°C
$2,282 Vol.
5%
31°C
$4,222 Vol.
14%
32°C
$2,275 Vol.
49%
33°C
$3,289 Vol.
26%
34°C
$3,735 Vol.
4%
35°C
$1,037 Vol.
1%
36°C
$253 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$1,788 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in the Taipei temperature market centers on 32°C as the leading outcome at 48.5% implied probability, driven by official Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble forecast models projecting a daytime high near 31–32°C for September 14 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Easterly winds and elevated humidity are expected to moderate peak readings, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September in northern Taiwan where afternoon maxima typically range 30–33°C absent strong subsidence or clear skies. Model spread introduces modest uncertainty around the exact threshold, with some runs favoring 33°C if cloud cover thins earlier than anticipated. Updated short-range guidance and real-time observations on the 14th will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$22,306End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in the Taipei temperature market centers on 32°C as the leading outcome at 48.5% implied probability, driven by official Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble forecast models projecting a daytime high near 31–32°C for September 14 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Easterly winds and elevated humidity are expected to moderate peak readings, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September in northern Taiwan where afternoon maxima typically range 30–33°C absent strong subsidence or clear skies. Model spread introduces modest uncertainty around the exact threshold, with some runs favoring 33°C if cloud cover thins earlier than anticipated. Updated short-range guidance and real-time observations on the 14th will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,306End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the Taipei temperature market centers on 32°C as the leading outcome at 48.5% implied probability, driven by official Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble forecast models projecting a daytime high near 31–32°C for September 14 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Easterly winds and elevated humidity are expected to moderate peak readings, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September in northern Taiwan where afternoon maxima typically range 30–33°C absent strong subsidence or clear skies. Model spread introduces modest uncertainty around the exact threshold, with some runs favoring 33°C if cloud cover thins earlier than anticipated. Updated short-range guidance and real-time observations on the 14th will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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