**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 40°C high in Karachi on September 13 stems from official forecast guidance and real-time observational trends showing peak daytime temperatures aligning with that threshold.** Persistent high-pressure systems, low humidity, and westerly winds have supported daytime heating consistent with late-summer norms for the region, where September averages hover near 34°C but current conditions have pushed maxima higher. Model runs from regional meteorological agencies show minimal spread around this value, with limited potential for convective cooling or cloud cover to suppress the peak. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded by the designated station; modest shifts in timing of peak insolation or localized sea-breeze effects could alter the final reading by 1–2°C, though current data favor the 40°C outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on September 13?
Highest temperature in Karachi on September 13?
40°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$35,452 Vol.
$35,452 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
100%
41°C or higher
<1%
40°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$35,452 Vol.
$35,452 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
31°C or below
$1,088 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$712 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$3,520 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,676 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,320 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$2,371 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$5,078 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$2,664 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$6,811 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$6,869 Vol.
100%
41°C or higher
$3,344 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 40°C high in Karachi on September 13 stems from official forecast guidance and real-time observational trends showing peak daytime temperatures aligning with that threshold.** Persistent high-pressure systems, low humidity, and westerly winds have supported daytime heating consistent with late-summer norms for the region, where September averages hover near 34°C but current conditions have pushed maxima higher. Model runs from regional meteorological agencies show minimal spread around this value, with limited potential for convective cooling or cloud cover to suppress the peak. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded by the designated station; modest shifts in timing of peak insolation or localized sea-breeze effects could alter the final reading by 1–2°C, though current data favor the 40°C outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$35,452End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 40°C high in Karachi on September 13 stems from official forecast guidance and real-time observational trends showing peak daytime temperatures aligning with that threshold.** Persistent high-pressure systems, low humidity, and westerly winds have supported daytime heating consistent with late-summer norms for the region, where September averages hover near 34°C but current conditions have pushed maxima higher. Model runs from regional meteorological agencies show minimal spread around this value, with limited potential for convective cooling or cloud cover to suppress the peak. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded by the designated station; modest shifts in timing of peak insolation or localized sea-breeze effects could alter the final reading by 1–2°C, though current data favor the 40°C outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$35,452End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 40°C high in Karachi on September 13 stems from official forecast guidance and real-time observational trends showing peak daytime temperatures aligning with that threshold.** Persistent high-pressure systems, low humidity, and westerly winds have supported daytime heating consistent with late-summer norms for the region, where September averages hover near 34°C but current conditions have pushed maxima higher. Model runs from regional meteorological agencies show minimal spread around this value, with limited potential for convective cooling or cloud cover to suppress the peak. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded by the designated station; modest shifts in timing of peak insolation or localized sea-breeze effects could alter the final reading by 1–2°C, though current data favor the 40°C outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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