Incumbent Suzan DelBene's commanding position in the WA-01 general election stems from the district's consistent Democratic lean, rated D+15 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, and her established record since 2012 in a suburban Seattle area spanning parts of King and Snohomish counties. She advanced comfortably from the August 2026 top-two primary with over 53 percent of the vote against a fragmented field, while Republican Mary Silva secured second place at roughly 26-27 percent. Nonpartisan forecasts from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. DelBene's fundraising advantage and the district's voter demographics further reinforce trader consensus. A shift would require substantial late-cycle developments such as an unforeseen national political realignment or unusually low Democratic turnout in the November 3 contest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWA-01 House Election Winner
WA-01 House Election Winner
$45,611 Vol.
$45,611 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Suzan DelBene (D)
96%
Mary Silva (R)
2%
$45,611 Vol.
$45,611 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Suzan DelBene (D)
$24,449 Vol.
96%
Mary Silva (R)
$21,162 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Suzan DelBene's commanding position in the WA-01 general election stems from the district's consistent Democratic lean, rated D+15 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, and her established record since 2012 in a suburban Seattle area spanning parts of King and Snohomish counties. She advanced comfortably from the August 2026 top-two primary with over 53 percent of the vote against a fragmented field, while Republican Mary Silva secured second place at roughly 26-27 percent. Nonpartisan forecasts from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. DelBene's fundraising advantage and the district's voter demographics further reinforce trader consensus. A shift would require substantial late-cycle developments such as an unforeseen national political realignment or unusually low Democratic turnout in the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$45,611End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Suzan DelBene's commanding position in the WA-01 general election stems from the district's consistent Democratic lean, rated D+15 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, and her established record since 2012 in a suburban Seattle area spanning parts of King and Snohomish counties. She advanced comfortably from the August 2026 top-two primary with over 53 percent of the vote against a fragmented field, while Republican Mary Silva secured second place at roughly 26-27 percent. Nonpartisan forecasts from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. DelBene's fundraising advantage and the district's voter demographics further reinforce trader consensus. A shift would require substantial late-cycle developments such as an unforeseen national political realignment or unusually low Democratic turnout in the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$45,611End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Suzan DelBene's commanding position in the WA-01 general election stems from the district's consistent Democratic lean, rated D+15 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, and her established record since 2012 in a suburban Seattle area spanning parts of King and Snohomish counties. She advanced comfortably from the August 2026 top-two primary with over 53 percent of the vote against a fragmented field, while Republican Mary Silva secured second place at roughly 26-27 percent. Nonpartisan forecasts from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. DelBene's fundraising advantage and the district's voter demographics further reinforce trader consensus. A shift would require substantial late-cycle developments such as an unforeseen national political realignment or unusually low Democratic turnout in the November 3 contest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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