Mark Harris holds a commanding position in the NC-08 House race due to the district's post-2025 redistricting, which produced a solidly Republican seat, combined with his status as the unopposed incumbent who won 59.6% in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting structural advantages in voter composition and historical performance. Watson secured the Democratic nomination in March after a competitive primary but trails sharply in fundraising, with Harris raising over $1 million compared to Watson's roughly $40,000. The November 3 general election remains months away, so late developments such as a national partisan swing, unusually high Democratic turnout in key counties, or unforeseen candidate-specific events could still narrow the gap reflected in current trader pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNC-08 House Election Winner
NC-08 House Election Winner
$24,067 Vol.
$24,067 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Mark Harris (R)
92%
Colby Watson (D)
9%
$24,067 Vol.
$24,067 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Mark Harris (R)
$9,559 Vol.
92%
Colby Watson (D)
$14,508 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Harris holds a commanding position in the NC-08 House race due to the district's post-2025 redistricting, which produced a solidly Republican seat, combined with his status as the unopposed incumbent who won 59.6% in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting structural advantages in voter composition and historical performance. Watson secured the Democratic nomination in March after a competitive primary but trails sharply in fundraising, with Harris raising over $1 million compared to Watson's roughly $40,000. The November 3 general election remains months away, so late developments such as a national partisan swing, unusually high Democratic turnout in key counties, or unforeseen candidate-specific events could still narrow the gap reflected in current trader pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$24,067End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Harris holds a commanding position in the NC-08 House race due to the district's post-2025 redistricting, which produced a solidly Republican seat, combined with his status as the unopposed incumbent who won 59.6% in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting structural advantages in voter composition and historical performance. Watson secured the Democratic nomination in March after a competitive primary but trails sharply in fundraising, with Harris raising over $1 million compared to Watson's roughly $40,000. The November 3 general election remains months away, so late developments such as a national partisan swing, unusually high Democratic turnout in key counties, or unforeseen candidate-specific events could still narrow the gap reflected in current trader pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,067End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Harris holds a commanding position in the NC-08 House race due to the district's post-2025 redistricting, which produced a solidly Republican seat, combined with his status as the unopposed incumbent who won 59.6% in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting structural advantages in voter composition and historical performance. Watson secured the Democratic nomination in March after a competitive primary but trails sharply in fundraising, with Harris raising over $1 million compared to Watson's roughly $40,000. The November 3 general election remains months away, so late developments such as a national partisan swing, unusually high Democratic turnout in key counties, or unforeseen candidate-specific events could still narrow the gap reflected in current trader pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions