Latest forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and major global models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate a minimum temperature of 17°C for Seoul and Incheon on September 10, reflecting typical early autumn conditions with clear skies and light winds overnight. This consensus stems from stable high-pressure dominance and absence of incoming cold fronts or significant cloud cover that would alter radiative cooling rates. Historical September lows in the region average near 16–18°C, aligning closely with current model runs. While the 96.5% market-implied probability captures strong agreement across ensembles, an unpredicted shift in steering patterns or measurement timing at Incheon station could still produce a 16°C reading. Updated model guidance later today will provide the final confirmation ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 10?
17°C 98%
16°C 2%
15°C <1%
11°C or below <1%
NEW
$14,769 Vol.
NEW
$14,769 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
98%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 98%
16°C 2%
15°C <1%
11°C or below <1%
NEW
$14,769 Vol.
NEW
$14,769 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
11°C or below
$142 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,182 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$346 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,020 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,207 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$3,396 Vol.
2%
17°C
$4,207 Vol.
98%
18°C
$2,020 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$695 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$265 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$290 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and major global models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate a minimum temperature of 17°C for Seoul and Incheon on September 10, reflecting typical early autumn conditions with clear skies and light winds overnight. This consensus stems from stable high-pressure dominance and absence of incoming cold fronts or significant cloud cover that would alter radiative cooling rates. Historical September lows in the region average near 16–18°C, aligning closely with current model runs. While the 96.5% market-implied probability captures strong agreement across ensembles, an unpredicted shift in steering patterns or measurement timing at Incheon station could still produce a 16°C reading. Updated model guidance later today will provide the final confirmation ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$14,769End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and major global models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate a minimum temperature of 17°C for Seoul and Incheon on September 10, reflecting typical early autumn conditions with clear skies and light winds overnight. This consensus stems from stable high-pressure dominance and absence of incoming cold fronts or significant cloud cover that would alter radiative cooling rates. Historical September lows in the region average near 16–18°C, aligning closely with current model runs. While the 96.5% market-implied probability captures strong agreement across ensembles, an unpredicted shift in steering patterns or measurement timing at Incheon station could still produce a 16°C reading. Updated model guidance later today will provide the final confirmation ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,769End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and major global models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate a minimum temperature of 17°C for Seoul and Incheon on September 10, reflecting typical early autumn conditions with clear skies and light winds overnight. This consensus stems from stable high-pressure dominance and absence of incoming cold fronts or significant cloud cover that would alter radiative cooling rates. Historical September lows in the region average near 16–18°C, aligning closely with current model runs. While the 96.5% market-implied probability captures strong agreement across ensembles, an unpredicted shift in steering patterns or measurement timing at Incheon station could still produce a 16°C reading. Updated model guidance later today will provide the final confirmation ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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