**Trader sentiment for Miami's September 9 minimum temperature centers on the 78–81°F range due to persistent subtropical conditions and model consensus near seasonal norms.** Official National Weather Service observations recorded a 79°F low at 5:27 a.m., consistent with the 1991–2020 average of 77°F and recent years' values of 75–79°F. East-southeast winds, high humidity (64–90%), and limited overnight cooling from cloud cover or light precipitation kept temperatures from dropping further. No strong frontal passages or unusual atmospheric patterns emerged in the preceding days to shift the diurnal range. With the observed value falling squarely in the 78–79°F bin, market-implied probabilities reflect forecasters' and traders' assessment of typical late-summer thermodynamics rather than outlier cooling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Miami on September 9?
80-81°F 60%
78-79°F 33%
76-77°F 5%
72-73°F 4.0%
$7,419 Vol.
$7,419 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
33%
80-81°F
60%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 60%
78-79°F 33%
76-77°F 5%
72-73°F 4.0%
$7,419 Vol.
$7,419 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
71°F or below
$551 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$456 Vol.
4%
74-75°F
$393 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$1,118 Vol.
5%
78-79°F
$967 Vol.
33%
80-81°F
$1,504 Vol.
60%
82-83°F
$1,224 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$372 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$244 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$295 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$296 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Miami's September 9 minimum temperature centers on the 78–81°F range due to persistent subtropical conditions and model consensus near seasonal norms.** Official National Weather Service observations recorded a 79°F low at 5:27 a.m., consistent with the 1991–2020 average of 77°F and recent years' values of 75–79°F. East-southeast winds, high humidity (64–90%), and limited overnight cooling from cloud cover or light precipitation kept temperatures from dropping further. No strong frontal passages or unusual atmospheric patterns emerged in the preceding days to shift the diurnal range. With the observed value falling squarely in the 78–79°F bin, market-implied probabilities reflect forecasters' and traders' assessment of typical late-summer thermodynamics rather than outlier cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$7,419End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Miami's September 9 minimum temperature centers on the 78–81°F range due to persistent subtropical conditions and model consensus near seasonal norms.** Official National Weather Service observations recorded a 79°F low at 5:27 a.m., consistent with the 1991–2020 average of 77°F and recent years' values of 75–79°F. East-southeast winds, high humidity (64–90%), and limited overnight cooling from cloud cover or light precipitation kept temperatures from dropping further. No strong frontal passages or unusual atmospheric patterns emerged in the preceding days to shift the diurnal range. With the observed value falling squarely in the 78–79°F bin, market-implied probabilities reflect forecasters' and traders' assessment of typical late-summer thermodynamics rather than outlier cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,419End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Miami's September 9 minimum temperature centers on the 78–81°F range due to persistent subtropical conditions and model consensus near seasonal norms.** Official National Weather Service observations recorded a 79°F low at 5:27 a.m., consistent with the 1991–2020 average of 77°F and recent years' values of 75–79°F. East-southeast winds, high humidity (64–90%), and limited overnight cooling from cloud cover or light precipitation kept temperatures from dropping further. No strong frontal passages or unusual atmospheric patterns emerged in the preceding days to shift the diurnal range. With the observed value falling squarely in the 78–79°F bin, market-implied probabilities reflect forecasters' and traders' assessment of typical late-summer thermodynamics rather than outlier cooling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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