Current National Weather Service forecasts for Miami point to overnight lows of 80–82°F on September 10–11 amid persistent high humidity, dew points near 78°F, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This setup, typical for the region during peak Atlantic moisture season, underpins the market’s heaviest weighting on the 80–81°F bin. Key variables include steering winds that could enhance or suppress mixing, thunderstorm timing that alters the daily minimum, and any late adjustments in global model guidance before resolution. Historical September lows average near 77°F, but recent observations show elevated baselines with minimal cold-air intrusions, leaving room for modest downward shifts if clearer skies develop overnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Miami on September 11?
80-81°F 35%
78-79°F 25%
82-83°F 24%
76-77°F 20%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
71°F or below
8%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
35%
82-83°F
24%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
16%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
2%
80-81°F 35%
78-79°F 25%
82-83°F 24%
76-77°F 20%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
71°F or below
$0 Vol.
8%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
5%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
16%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
20%
78-79°F
$102 Vol.
25%
80-81°F
$5 Vol.
35%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
24%
84-85°F
$38 Vol.
16%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
16%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
2%
90°F or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts for Miami point to overnight lows of 80–82°F on September 10–11 amid persistent high humidity, dew points near 78°F, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This setup, typical for the region during peak Atlantic moisture season, underpins the market’s heaviest weighting on the 80–81°F bin. Key variables include steering winds that could enhance or suppress mixing, thunderstorm timing that alters the daily minimum, and any late adjustments in global model guidance before resolution. Historical September lows average near 77°F, but recent observations show elevated baselines with minimal cold-air intrusions, leaving room for modest downward shifts if clearer skies develop overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$145End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts for Miami point to overnight lows of 80–82°F on September 10–11 amid persistent high humidity, dew points near 78°F, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This setup, typical for the region during peak Atlantic moisture season, underpins the market’s heaviest weighting on the 80–81°F bin. Key variables include steering winds that could enhance or suppress mixing, thunderstorm timing that alters the daily minimum, and any late adjustments in global model guidance before resolution. Historical September lows average near 77°F, but recent observations show elevated baselines with minimal cold-air intrusions, leaving room for modest downward shifts if clearer skies develop overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$145End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts for Miami point to overnight lows of 80–82°F on September 10–11 amid persistent high humidity, dew points near 78°F, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This setup, typical for the region during peak Atlantic moisture season, underpins the market’s heaviest weighting on the 80–81°F bin. Key variables include steering winds that could enhance or suppress mixing, thunderstorm timing that alters the daily minimum, and any late adjustments in global model guidance before resolution. Historical September lows average near 77°F, but recent observations show elevated baselines with minimal cold-air intrusions, leaving room for modest downward shifts if clearer skies develop overnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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