Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Lucknow of 26–27°C on September 10, driven by persistent high humidity near 85–93% and extensive cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling during the late southwest monsoon period. Thunderstorm activity and light rain expected overnight further moderate temperature drops, consistent with recent observations of 26.6°C at Lucknow Airport on September 9. With 27°C holding a narrow 52% market-implied probability over 26°C at 46%, traders are weighing subtle differences in steering patterns and moisture levels that could tip the overnight low by a single degree. Updated IMD briefings and model consensus ahead of resolution will remain key inputs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on September 10?
25°C 3%
24°C 2%
21°C or below 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
45%
27°C
55%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 3%
24°C 2%
21°C or below 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
21°C or below
$120 Vol.
1%
22°C
$40 Vol.
1%
23°C
$45 Vol.
1%
24°C
$72 Vol.
2%
25°C
$78 Vol.
3%
26°C
$47 Vol.
45%
27°C
$82 Vol.
55%
28°C
$90 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Lucknow of 26–27°C on September 10, driven by persistent high humidity near 85–93% and extensive cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling during the late southwest monsoon period. Thunderstorm activity and light rain expected overnight further moderate temperature drops, consistent with recent observations of 26.6°C at Lucknow Airport on September 9. With 27°C holding a narrow 52% market-implied probability over 26°C at 46%, traders are weighing subtle differences in steering patterns and moisture levels that could tip the overnight low by a single degree. Updated IMD briefings and model consensus ahead of resolution will remain key inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$619End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Lucknow of 26–27°C on September 10, driven by persistent high humidity near 85–93% and extensive cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling during the late southwest monsoon period. Thunderstorm activity and light rain expected overnight further moderate temperature drops, consistent with recent observations of 26.6°C at Lucknow Airport on September 9. With 27°C holding a narrow 52% market-implied probability over 26°C at 46%, traders are weighing subtle differences in steering patterns and moisture levels that could tip the overnight low by a single degree. Updated IMD briefings and model consensus ahead of resolution will remain key inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$619End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Lucknow of 26–27°C on September 10, driven by persistent high humidity near 85–93% and extensive cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling during the late southwest monsoon period. Thunderstorm activity and light rain expected overnight further moderate temperature drops, consistent with recent observations of 26.6°C at Lucknow Airport on September 9. With 27°C holding a narrow 52% market-implied probability over 26°C at 46%, traders are weighing subtle differences in steering patterns and moisture levels that could tip the overnight low by a single degree. Updated IMD briefings and model consensus ahead of resolution will remain key inputs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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