Recent National Weather Service and regional forecasts for Denver on September 10 project daytime highs near 85–90°F under mostly sunny skies, with the calendar-day minimum expected overnight or at dawn in the upper 50s (around 58–60°F). This aligns with seasonal norms near 52°F but reflects a warming trend and limited cloud cover that moderates radiational cooling at Denver’s elevation. Clear, dry conditions and light variable winds favor efficient nighttime heat loss, yet ensemble spreads and historical September variability—where lows have ranged from the mid-30s to upper 50s—support the market’s emphasis on the 51°F-or-below bin as the leading outcome. Updated model runs and any late-day frontal shifts could adjust readings before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Denver on September 10?
51°F or below 41%
52-53°F 40%
54-55°F 40%
56-57°F 40%
51°F or below
41%
52-53°F
24%
54-55°F
24%
56-57°F
27%
58-59°F
22%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70°F or higher
<1%
51°F or below 41%
52-53°F 40%
54-55°F 40%
56-57°F 40%
51°F or below
41%
52-53°F
24%
54-55°F
24%
56-57°F
27%
58-59°F
22%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and regional forecasts for Denver on September 10 project daytime highs near 85–90°F under mostly sunny skies, with the calendar-day minimum expected overnight or at dawn in the upper 50s (around 58–60°F). This aligns with seasonal norms near 52°F but reflects a warming trend and limited cloud cover that moderates radiational cooling at Denver’s elevation. Clear, dry conditions and light variable winds favor efficient nighttime heat loss, yet ensemble spreads and historical September variability—where lows have ranged from the mid-30s to upper 50s—support the market’s emphasis on the 51°F-or-below bin as the leading outcome. Updated model runs and any late-day frontal shifts could adjust readings before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions