La Shawn Ford secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s 7th Congressional District in the March 2026 primary after receiving an early endorsement from retiring incumbent Danny Davis, prevailing in a crowded field despite significant outside spending against him. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+34 Partisan Voter Index and consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring Ford in the November general election. Chad Koppie advanced as the Republican nominee but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. With the general election still weeks away, late developments such as unforeseen scandals or major shifts in turnout could theoretically alter the race, though the current environment shows limited volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIL-07 House Election Winner
IL-07 House Election Winner
$26,641 Vol.
$26,641 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
La Shawn Ford (D)
97%
Chad Koppie (R)
1%
$26,641 Vol.
$26,641 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
La Shawn Ford (D)
$12,288 Vol.
97%
Chad Koppie (R)
$14,353 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).La Shawn Ford secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s 7th Congressional District in the March 2026 primary after receiving an early endorsement from retiring incumbent Danny Davis, prevailing in a crowded field despite significant outside spending against him. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+34 Partisan Voter Index and consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring Ford in the November general election. Chad Koppie advanced as the Republican nominee but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. With the general election still weeks away, late developments such as unforeseen scandals or major shifts in turnout could theoretically alter the race, though the current environment shows limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$26,641End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).La Shawn Ford secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s 7th Congressional District in the March 2026 primary after receiving an early endorsement from retiring incumbent Danny Davis, prevailing in a crowded field despite significant outside spending against him. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+34 Partisan Voter Index and consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring Ford in the November general election. Chad Koppie advanced as the Republican nominee but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. With the general election still weeks away, late developments such as unforeseen scandals or major shifts in turnout could theoretically alter the race, though the current environment shows limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,641End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...La Shawn Ford secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s 7th Congressional District in the March 2026 primary after receiving an early endorsement from retiring incumbent Danny Davis, prevailing in a crowded field despite significant outside spending against him. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+34 Partisan Voter Index and consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring Ford in the November general election. Chad Koppie advanced as the Republican nominee but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. With the general election still weeks away, late developments such as unforeseen scandals or major shifts in turnout could theoretically alter the race, though the current environment shows limited volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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