**Trader sentiment for Wuhan's highest temperature on September 11, 2026, centers on 28–30 °C, with 29 °C holding the strongest implied probability at 40 %.** This reflects broad agreement across numerical weather models and official guidance that moderate conditions will prevail following a recent cold-air surge. A large-scale northerly flow associated with a cold front has suppressed daytime heating, producing highs of 25–27 °C on September 10 across multiple sources. For the 11th, forecasts show gradual moderation under partly cloudy skies and lighter northeast winds, yielding consensus highs of 28–29 °C (roughly 82–84 °F). Outliers at 27 °C or 30 °C remain plausible depending on cloud cover timing and local station siting, but stronger warming is limited by the lingering northerly component and typical mid-September climatology for the Yangtze valley. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at Wuhan's primary observing site, with any late-day clearing or wind shift offering the main upside risk. No significant model divergence or tropical moisture is indicated in the short term, keeping the probability mass tightly clustered around the current leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 11?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 11?
29°C 48%
28°C 29%
30°C 15%
27°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
7%
28°C
29%
29°C
48%
30°C
15%
31°C
4%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 48%
28°C 29%
30°C 15%
27°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
24°C or below
$472 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$315 Vol.
1%
26°C
$556 Vol.
2%
27°C
$558 Vol.
7%
28°C
$1,811 Vol.
29%
29°C
$3,033 Vol.
48%
30°C
$517 Vol.
15%
31°C
$462 Vol.
4%
32°C
$163 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$276 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$74 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Wuhan's highest temperature on September 11, 2026, centers on 28–30 °C, with 29 °C holding the strongest implied probability at 40 %.** This reflects broad agreement across numerical weather models and official guidance that moderate conditions will prevail following a recent cold-air surge.
A large-scale northerly flow associated with a cold front has suppressed daytime heating, producing highs of 25–27 °C on September 10 across multiple sources. For the 11th, forecasts show gradual moderation under partly cloudy skies and lighter northeast winds, yielding consensus highs of 28–29 °C (roughly 82–84 °F). Outliers at 27 °C or 30 °C remain plausible depending on cloud cover timing and local station siting, but stronger warming is limited by the lingering northerly component and typical mid-September climatology for the Yangtze valley.
Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at Wuhan's primary observing site, with any late-day clearing or wind shift offering the main upside risk. No significant model divergence or tropical moisture is indicated in the short term, keeping the probability mass tightly clustered around the current leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$8,236End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Wuhan's highest temperature on September 11, 2026, centers on 28–30 °C, with 29 °C holding the strongest implied probability at 40 %.** This reflects broad agreement across numerical weather models and official guidance that moderate conditions will prevail following a recent cold-air surge.
A large-scale northerly flow associated with a cold front has suppressed daytime heating, producing highs of 25–27 °C on September 10 across multiple sources. For the 11th, forecasts show gradual moderation under partly cloudy skies and lighter northeast winds, yielding consensus highs of 28–29 °C (roughly 82–84 °F). Outliers at 27 °C or 30 °C remain plausible depending on cloud cover timing and local station siting, but stronger warming is limited by the lingering northerly component and typical mid-September climatology for the Yangtze valley.
Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at Wuhan's primary observing site, with any late-day clearing or wind shift offering the main upside risk. No significant model divergence or tropical moisture is indicated in the short term, keeping the probability mass tightly clustered around the current leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,236End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Wuhan's highest temperature on September 11, 2026, centers on 28–30 °C, with 29 °C holding the strongest implied probability at 40 %.** This reflects broad agreement across numerical weather models and official guidance that moderate conditions will prevail following a recent cold-air surge. A large-scale northerly flow associated with a cold front has suppressed daytime heating, producing highs of 25–27 °C on September 10 across multiple sources. For the 11th, forecasts show gradual moderation under partly cloudy skies and lighter northeast winds, yielding consensus highs of 28–29 °C (roughly 82–84 °F). Outliers at 27 °C or 30 °C remain plausible depending on cloud cover timing and local station siting, but stronger warming is limited by the lingering northerly component and typical mid-September climatology for the Yangtze valley. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at Wuhan's primary observing site, with any late-day clearing or wind shift offering the main upside risk. No significant model divergence or tropical moisture is indicated in the short term, keeping the probability mass tightly clustered around the current leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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